Slowly but surely, Caesars Sportsbook is increasingly shifting the betting line in favor of Team USA as the action prepares to kick off at the 2022 Presidents’ Cup. With 12 players in the top 25 of the official world golf rankings, the Americans have a significant advantage on paper in terms of experience and skill.
This talent disparity is reflected in the Quail Hollow odds, with the US listed as top favorites to successfully defend the Presidents’ Cup. However, it wasn’t always so skewed.
Having opened a few months ago as a 1/3 favorite, the US has an implied 75% chance of lifting the Presidents’ Cup for the 12th time in just 14 editions of this team tournament. After the news spread around the golf world that players had switched to LIV Golf and thus forfeited the opportunity to play in the Presidents’ Cup, the odds began to move towards the home side.
Odds for Presidents Cup 2022
- Team USA: 2/15
- International team: 7-1
- Draw: 18-1
Louis Oosthuizen was the first international stalwart to switch tours, but the lines remained stable throughout June. The South African was considered one of the leaders of his captain and compatriot Trevor Immelman. Instead, with his departure and subsequent opening of the floodgates for the LIV, the United States has since become even more of a favourite.
Along with Ousthuisen, Abraham Unser, Cameron Smith and Joaquin Niemann were in line for the international team. Each of them was within the qualifying criteria at the time of their departure, the loss of these top players was felt by Immelmann’s team.
Avid players took notice of rumors that Champion of the Year and Niemann might be leaving the PGA Tour, and were given a much better price on the US side in September. While it was never sexy to bet $500 to get $100, the inevitable news of these big names for the LIV Golf made the juice worth squeezing for those who indulged.
- Scotty Sheffler: 15/2
- Xander Schauffele: 15/2
- Patrick Cantley: 8-1
- Justin Thomas: 17/2
- Max Homa: 9-1
- Collin Morikawa: 10-1
- Sam Burns: 12-1
- Tony Finau: 12-1
- Jordan Spit: 14-1
- Cameron Young: 18-1
The first 10 names on this list are all American. Perhaps most surprising is Homa with a 9-1 score as it will be his debut in the Presidents’ Cup and yet he scores five points less than Spit, who is the most experienced player in the US. played in all five sessions and one would expect Spit to be paired with his good friend Thomas for most of them.
- Sungjae Im: 18-1
- Hideki Matsuyama: 18-1
- Tom Kim: 20-1
- Adam Scott: 25-1
- Corey Conners: 28-1
The five people listed above are likely to play each session for an international team. Without the depth of its American counterpart, an international team’s path to victory is extremely narrow and dependent on its best players. It gives an interesting insight into the top points market as Im has been one of the best players in the world over the last few months and Matsuyama has previously thrived at Quayle Hollow – two of my favorite picks.
- Billy Horschel: 35-1
- Si Woo Kim: 35-1
- Cam Davis: 40-1
- Kevin Kisner: 50-1
- Taylor Pendrit: 55-1
- Christian Bezuidenhout: 60-1
- K. H. Lee: 70-1
- Sebastian Munoz: 70-1
- Pereira Mito: 70-1
Like picking names out of a hat, one has to decipher who will be the 2022 version of Unser and Ym in 2019, both of whom scored 3.5 points and were top scorers along with Thomas. If I had to take a hit, I would assume that Lee is a relatively obscure name capable of playing in four sessions. The South Korean has done brilliantly in the FedEx Cup playoffs and can do birdies in bundles.
- 1st day winner — USA: 4/9 | International: 11/4 | Draw: 25/4
- 2nd day winner — USA: 4/9 | International: 11/4 | Draw: 25/4
- Leadership after day 2 — USA: 1/3 | International: 7/2 | Draw: 7-1
- 3rd day winner — US: 2/5 | International: 29/10 | Draw: 27/4
- Day 4 Singles Winner — USA: 20/67 | International: 15/4 | Draw: 15/2
If you are interested in the odds of the United States, this is another way to look at prices that are easier to digest. However, the international side that won Day 1 is intriguing as the US has historically fought in fours (alternate strike), which is the Thursday format. Squad maps will be announced on Wednesday evening, and this line will move one way or the other depending on the matches featured.