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2023 NFL divisional round playoff picks: Giants shock Eagles, Cowboys upset 49ers, Bengals stun Bills

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I’d like to start today with an apology to the NFL. When they decided to change the name “Wild Card Weekend” to “Super Wild Card Weekend” I thought it would be the biggest marketing failure since Crystal Clear Pepsi but I was wrong because the football we got over the weekend was Super Wild.

That being said, if anyone from Pepsi is reading could you bring back the crystal clear stuff because I really liked it. One thing I don’t like is trying to pick games in the divisional round. The key to picking divisional games is not to overdo it, which can be difficult for me because I think things through. I mean, I once spent four days thinking about a chess move and I didn’t even play anyone.

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The reason you don’t want to think too much in a divisional round is because the home team usually dominates. Over the past 10 years, home teams have gone 29-11, which basically means we average about one upset a year, which means I should probably pick at least one upset this week.

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On the other hand, last year the home teams went 1-3, so maybe I need to get pissed off and collect all the upsets. Shit. I literally just told myself not to overdo it with my picks this week, and here we are, one paragraph later, and I’m already thinking about them.

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So am I really picking any disorders this week? Let’s go to the selection and find out.

In fact, before we get into the picks, I want to remind you that you can check out the weekly picks from every NFL expert on CBSSports.com by clicking here. If you click, you will notice that I went 5-1, which I would brag about, but I can’t because our two guys went 6-0.

If you ever wondered what it would be like to hang out with me and watch football then be sure to check out our Pick Six YouTube page. I go live on YouTube with Will Brinson and Ryan Wilson after every playoff game and it’s a good place to poke fun at me for missing a pick.

Okay, I’ll stop wasting time so we can move on to the choice.

Divisional round elections

No. 4 in Jacksonville (10–8) to No. 1 in Kansas City (14–3)

Saturday 4:30 pm ET (NBC)

Featured game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Spreading
money line
General

KS

-9.5
-110
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-480

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o52
-110
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JAC

+9.5
-110
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+360

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U52
-110
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DRAW
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I think I’ve said this before, but I’ll say it again: there are three guarantees in life: death, taxes, and Andy Reed winning bye-bye. Since I’m alive and haven’t paid taxes since 2001, I don’t know much about those first two things, but I know enough to never attack Reid when his team goes on vacation.

In his 24-year coaching career, Reed is 28-5 wins, including playoff games. He was so unbeatable that Ryan Wilson, Will Brinson and I once wrote a song about it. However, as you’ll notice below, we didn’t put much effort into singing or writing it, and it’s not very catchy.

Let’s hope Rihanna sings our song at the Super Bowl halftime so America can finally appreciate our musical genius.

As far as Reed’s farewell success, if you only include the games that Reed had Patrick Mahomes in, then he’s actually even better. Mahomes has a career record of 9-1 since the bye, and the Chiefs averaged 30.1 points in those 10 games.

Of course, if there is anyone who can beat Andy Reid when he leaves, it could be Doug Pederson because he knows Reid better than anyone. The Jaguars coach spent 10 years with Reed, including three years as a player in Green Bay (1997-99) and seven as an assistant coach, four of which went to Philadelphia (2009-12) and three to Kansas City ( 2013-15). ). In short, Pederson won’t be intimidated by a trip to Kansas City, and he won’t be intimidated by the fact that people are writing songs about Andy Reed.

The Jaguars have enough firepower to stay that close until Trevor Lawrence does something crazy like throwing four interceptions in the first half. Although I think the Barbs will be able to hang with the Chiefs, I can’t catch the breakdown here. My main issue with the Jags is that their biggest defensive weakness is stopping titles, which is not the kind of weakness you want to have when facing a Kansas City offense.

This year, the Jaguars lost 1,087 receiving yards to tight ends and 13.1 receiving yards to tight ends, which was the third-worst in the NFL. By the end of the game, Travis Kelsey could have 300 receiving yards. If the Jaguars do everything they can to stop Kelsey, it will almost certainly open up new opportunities for everyone else in the Chiefs’ offense.

The Jags will have to choose their poison and that will lead to a slow death, which brings me back to my original point of view: the only thing guaranteed in life is death and Andy Reed winning bye bye and taxes I guess. but only if you actually pay them. (And if anyone from the IRS is reading this, I really love paying taxes. It’s literally one of my three favorite things in life in this country).

CHOICE: Chiefs 31-24 over the Jaguars
JAX-KC record games this season: 1-0
Jaguars record games this season: 8-10
Chiefs record games this season: 16-1

No. 6 New York Giants (10–7–1) and No. 1 Philadelphia (14–3)

Saturday 8:15 pm ET (Fox)

Featured game | Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants
Spreading
money line
General

PHI

-8
-110
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-420

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o47.5
-110
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New York

+8
-110
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+320

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U47.5
-110
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DRAW
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On paper, it looks like this game could turn into a breakthrough: the Eagles have a better offense, a better defense, and a healthy Jalen Hurts is better than Daniel Jones. And like I said before, I’m NOT going to overthink this week, and the great thing about this game is that these two teams have already played twice this season, with the Giants down 70-38.

When two division rivals meet in the playoffs, I don’t necessarily pay attention to what happened in the regular season, but it’s hard to ignore it in this game. The Eagles have beaten the Giants twice this year, 48-22 and 22-16, and yes, I consider that second score a breakthrough because it was 19-3 midway through the fourth quarter.

Apparently it must be hard to beat a team three times in one season, but I wanted to figure it out for myself, so I decided to do some research (actually it just involves my email to our research department, so really actually it is not). too much work on my part, so don’t feel sorry for me).

Anyway, since 1970, a total of 24 teams have played 2-0 against a division rival in the regular season and then faced him again in the playoffs, and those 24 teams went 15-9 in Game 3. , which means 62.5% of the team completed the three-game streak, but it also means that the 0-2 team won the third game 37.5% of the time, and I think what I’m trying to say here is that I’m just. ..



Source: www.cbssports.com

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