Week 11 of the NFL season will end Monday night when the Arizona Cardinals play the San Francisco 49ers (-8, 43.5) at the Azteca Stadium in Mexico City (Sportzshala, 8:15 am ET).
After an exciting Sunday afternoon, we have another opportunity to bet on professional football. So which plays do our analysts like best?
Fantasy and Sports Betting Analyst Andre Snellings and football underdogs Aaron honey provide your best games to match.
Note. Lines from the bookmaker Caesars, unless otherwise indicated.
San Francisco 49ers (-8, 43.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Monday, 8:15 pm ET, Azteca Stadium in Mexico City.
Entering Week 11, San Francisco is polygames behind first place in the NFC West, and Arizona is two games behind division leaders Seattle. Who do you like on Monday and are you interested in any team winning the division (49ers -220, Cardinals +4500) ahead of the Seahawks (+190)?
Schatz: I think the spread for this game is correct, assuming a 50% chance that Kyler Murray will start for the Cardinals. However, I like to go with under 43.5. Both Arizona and San Francisco have been better defensively than offensively this season. Although Arizona is a fast-paced offense, San Francisco’s pace is slow. We found that all other things being equal, games in divisions tend to be worth less points than others. With regard to this division, Football Outsiders Playoff Odds Simulation in fact Seattle is now a slight favorite to win the NFC West, so I’m definitely not taking the 49ers at -220.
Snellings: I won’t touch the game itself until I know Murray’s status. However, if he plays, I will take Cardinals and points. However, I do have some outside interest in seeing the Cardinals win the division. Murray developed a great relationship with Marquise Brown before the injury and then rekindled a relationship with DeAndre Hopkins after his return. He even seems to get along with Rondale Moore and has Robbie Anderson as his #4 wildcard. Throw in James Conner and if these guys can get/stay healthy I love it when they end the season strong . it’s a lot ifbut only two games left. At 45-1, it might have been worth it.
Cash out express too early? Get burned in the last second of the game? Come and sympathize with Jason Fitz and his bad beats of the week.
Last week, Christian McCaffrey had only 38 yards on the ground (plus a touchdown) when he shared the backfield with Elijah Mitchell. Do you expect him to have more ground play this week (O/U 65.5 yards) or are you more interested in him getting ground (O/U 35.5 yards)?
Snellings: I’m more interested in McCaffrey’s reception and/or yardage requisites. Mitchell looked strong on the ground last week and he runs faster than McCaffrey. I could see the 49ers leading the backfield week after week. As for McCaffrey, his uniqueness lies in his receiving ability, and I think this is where he will continue to outperform Mitchell.
Is there anything else you like or what you play in this match?
Schatz: San Francisco is currently ranked ninth in the offensive DVOA in the first quarter and fifth in the defensive DVOA. Arizona is 28th on offense and 29th on defense. So please, I’ll gladly take San Francisco -0.5 in first quarter at -115.