The Bears don’t have the worst record in the NFL, but they could be the first team to be knocked out of a division title this year.
Nowadays, every team in the NFL is mathematically alive when it comes to winning their division, and yes, that includes even the Texans, who are currently sitting at 1-7-1. Despite this record, the Texans can still win their division. Sure, the Titans would need a monumental crash, but the point is, Houston is mathematically still alive.
The Texans may not be excluded from the division title challenge this week, but one team might be, and that’s the Bears. If Chicago loses to the Falcons on Sunday and the Vikings beat the Cowboys, then the Bears will have the unfortunate honor of being the first team this season to be eliminated from a divisional title race.h/t NFL playoff scripts). This doesn’t mean the Bears can’t make the playoffs, it just means they can’t make it to the first round game as they can no longer win the NFC North.
Here’s a look at division tiebreakers and why the Bears will pull out if they lose and the Vikings win:
- 1. Face to face. The Vikings already have one win over the Bears, so the best thing Chicago can do is beat Minnesota in Week 18, which ties the game. If that happened, we would go to tiebreak number 2.
- 2. The best percentage of wins and losses in games played within the division. The Vikings are currently 3-0 in the division while the Bears are 0-3 which means the best the Bears can do is tie the Vikings at 3-3. If that happens, we will move on to tiebreak #3.
- 3. The best percentage of wins and losses in regular games. The Vikings and Bears play 12 total games and at the moment the best thing the Bears can do in those games is to go 6-6. On the other hand, if Minnesota beats Dallas, then the Vikings could be as good as 6-6, which puts us in tiebreak #4.
- 4. The best percentage of wins and losses in games played within the conference. The fourth tiebreaker is the NFC wins and this is where Minnesota can beat Chicago on Sunday. The Vikings are 6-1 in the NFC and if they win they will go to 7-1. The Bears are 1-6 and can’t do better than 6-6 even if they win. While the Vikings will end this tiebreak with a win, they also need the Bears to lose because if Chicago wins, they can still finish 10–7 overall, which would be enough to keep them in a rivalry since, in theory, the Vikings could still finish 9.-8, even with Sunday’s win.
Even if the Bears are out of contention for the division title, fans in Chicago probably won’t be as upset because the team seems to have finally found a franchised QB. Fields has developed into one of the best double-threat quarterbacks in football, and he currently has 1,273 rushing yards, a single-season record for quarterbacks.
Fields has also been in tears over the past few weeks: in Week 9, he became the first player in NFL history to throw three passing touchdowns and at least 150 yards in a single game. In Week 10, he became the first player in NFL history to throw two passing touchdowns, two rushing touchdowns, and at least 100 yards in a game.
The quarterback seems to have a bright future, even if the Bears’ future may not be as bright as the team may be eliminated from the division title challenge this weekend.