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Betting PGA: Two head-to-head matchups for the John Deere Classic

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PGA heads to Illinois for John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. The field has a par of 71, extends for 7,200 yards, and is suitable for straight-ball hitters who can knock down a lot of birdies. Lucas Glover won this tournament last year in under-19s. The winning score in 2018 was under 27, so I’m looking for players who have a low ceiling.

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Here are two full tournament matchups worth checking out.

Christian Bezuidenhout (-105) vs. Jason Day

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If I’m looking for fairway players, C-Bez is my choice. The South African is not known for his tee shots, but that’s because of his lack of distance, not his accuracy. He ranks 31st in the field in keeping the ball on the line, while Day is 106th. If you want to give yourself a shot at some birdie opportunities, you need to hit hard iron shots to pin him close. Day was now losing hits on approach in four events in a row, averaging 3.7 hits per contest. Due to his hitting the ball, Day has also lost tee-to-green shots in three of his last four tournaments. While Bezuidenhout has had his own problems with two missed cuts in his last three events, he has also had a T12 in Byron Nelson and a T15 in Charles Schwab. Supporting a player who doesn’t bleed his irons and is certainly capable of keeping the ball on the fairway from the start is the way to go.

Danny McCarthy (+115) vs. Charles Howell

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When it comes to keeping the ball on the fairway, McCarthy has an advantage over Howell in this regard. McCarthy lacks range but accuracy, and Howell has range but not accuracy. McCarthy isn’t particularly known for hitting the ball, but he can make his way across the lawn and is in the top 5 for hits taken in the last 24 rounds. If I’m looking for players who can bat well low, McCarthy’s skills have to come into play. He finished seventh at the US Open and prior to that he finished fifth at the Memorial, so there’s a ceiling. For this course, I will take a more accurate player with a strong flat stick.

Danny McCarthy tees on the fourth hole during the 2022 US Open final round on June 19.  (David Cannon/Getty Images)
Danny McCarthy tees on the fourth hole during the 2022 US Open final round on June 19. (David Cannon/Getty Images)



Source: sports.yahoo.com

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