Week 3 of the NFL season will end Monday night with the New York Giants (-1, 39) hosting the Dallas Cowboys at Metlife Stadium (Sportzshala/ABC/Sportzshala+, 8:15 pm ET).
After an exciting Sunday afternoon, we have another opportunity to bet on professional football if we so desire. So what games do our analysts make?
Rate Analysts Joe Fortenbaugh as well as Anita Marksfantasy and sports betting analysts Eric Moody as well as Andre Snellings, Sportzshala Analyst Jason FitzSportzshala Statistics and Information Seth Walder and football underdogs Aaron honey submit your best plays.
Note. Lines from the bookmaker Caesars, unless otherwise indicated.
Dallas Cowboys – New York Giants (-1, 39)
Monday, 8:15 pm ET, MetLife Stadium.
The Giants come into action on Monday night against the Cowboys in a 2-0 win for the first time in six years. What do you think about spread and total in this game? Who do you like?
Schatz: Well, last week I wrote about the Giants as one of the worst 2-0 teams in the last 40 years. We also ranked them last in the Football Outsiders pre-season predictions. On the other hand, we predict the Cowboys will be the worst offense in the league now that they have Cooper Rush as their starting quarterback. However, I prefer Dallas in this game because of the defense. Last year, the Cowboys’ defense ranked second in the NFL in DVOA, and this year it’s sixth. This year, the defense of the giants is ranked 20th. The Giants also rank 29th in pass rush winning percentage and have no cornerback depth—an issue with Michael Gallup returning to Dallas in this game.
Snellings: The Giants aren’t as good as their 2-0 record, as evidenced by their 27th-place FPI rating of -4.7. Despite this, they are ahead of the Cowboys’ FPI of -6.2 minus Dak Prescott, who is No. 30 in the NFL. This season, the Giants have emphasized their running game, keeping games closed until they can win at the end. If they can replicate that on Monday, the running game could minimize the Cowboys’ passing rush and keep the pressure on Rush to produce. In the FPI forecast, the Giants have a 56.1% chance of winning and an expected margin of 1.8 points. I tend to agree and lean towards the Giants here.
Fitz: Expectations before the start of the season really influenced the tone of our conversations about both of these teams. As the Giants weren’t expected to do much, the hype is starting to grow. However, not every 2-0 team is built the same way. The skies were crashing ahead of the Cowboys in their second week, but their ability to win over Cincinnati has dispelled doubts… for now. Cowboys are never as good as expected because expectations are unreasonable. That being said, they are still a better team than the Giants. The Dallas defense and superstar Micah Parsons can handle the giants. Rush will have enough time to quit to do what he needs to. Cowboys win close.
Capricious: Despite having to play Rush as quarterback, the Cowboys still beat the Bengals, indicating they may be fine without Prescott while he recovers from his thumb injury. The Giants are 2-0 against weak competition. Cowboys tend to shine during prime time. Dallas is 5-2 against the spread in Monday night games since 2015. The Cowboys were hit more than four times. I like Dallas to cover and surpass the total.
Fortenbo: I’m leaning towards the Giants here, but that’s just a bias. I understand the fact that not all 2-0 teams are as good as they seem to be, but you can’t deny the fact that Big Blue is a competent, organized football team this season (as opposed to we have seen in recent years). ). Plus, it’s a low price for a home division game on Monday Night Football. Dallas was impressive in a win over Cincinnati last week, but don’t forget the fact that the Cowboys squandered a 17-3 lead and should have won it at the buzzer. This is also Mike McCarthy & Co.’s first trip this season, so keep that in mind.
Tags: I trust Daniel Jones. During the first two weeks of the season, Jones was under more pressure than any quarterback in the NFL. Despite this, he has a completion rate of over 80% and is the most accurate passer in the NFL. Take note of that, and the fact that his lead receiver is… Richie James. Who?! Jones was able to move the chains with his feet at key points to help the Giants to a 2-0 lead. Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale has brought Cavon Thibodeau and Aziz Ojulari back to the defensive line and he will have plenty of room for Mr. Rush. I’ll dot the G-Men!
Saquon Barkley started week three leading the league in rushing (236 yards). He currently has the third best chance (+600) to finish the season with the most rushing yards behind Nick Chubb and Jonathan Taylor. What do you think of Barkley’s chances of winning the title?
Schatz: Even if Barkley returns to his old self, I don’t think he’ll get the lock he needs to win a quick title. The Giants are in 20th place in adjusted line yards and 30th in running block wins in two games. Barkley has scored the majority of his yardage on his own, and he can’t count on too many 68-yard runs during a 17-game season.
Capricious: Barkley has a good chance of winning. Prior to the start of the regular season, he was a dark horse candidate. In addition to looking healthy and determined, Barkley runs powerfully and aggressively. Barkley has averaged 19.5 rushes per game this season, and head coach Brian Daball has shown a willingness to feed him. Given the Giants’ vastly improved offensive line, players should take Barkley seriously.
Snellings: Barkley has had a great start and he has the talent to lead the league, but questions about his offensive line and his history of stamina keep me from betting on him at +600. I prefer both Taylor and Chubb to win more, with Derrick Henry +1400, Joe Mixon +2000 and Javonte Williams +2500 with their odds better than Barkley with his.
Fitz: I’m not ready to give up Taylor. The Colts had injury problems and terrible left tackle play. but The Colts know their best route to winning bad AFC South games is to set a run. Taylor may not have as many highlights as Barkley, but I believe less in them and more in consistency. We know the identity of the Colts, and it will only benefit Taylor as the season progresses.
Fortenbo: Pass. I like the way Barkley runs, but he hasn’t exactly faced the cream of the crop in regards to NFL defense. You also have to factor in injury concerns, as he has competed in just 17 of the last 35 events in New York.
walder: No, thanks. I agree with Schatz about blocking, but also I just don’t think the Giants are very good. They will fall behind in games and this will limit Barkley’s options. Besides, Barkley has always been something of a “boom-bust”. The fact that he already has a 68-yard carry is good, but I expect there will be some periods of stagnation ahead.
The Cowboys entered Monday night with the third-most sacks (8) in the NFL, led by sophomore sensation Micah Parsons. Do you like that Parsons was named Defensive Player of the Year this season?
Capricious: Parsons is the top contender for the award and he should lose. This guy is strong, fast and attacks from all sides and from all positions. However, the teams know what they need to plan for Parsons. It hasn’t been figured out yet. Parsons has 15 pass rush wins this season, more than any player in the league. One of his goals this season was to break the NFL record for sacks (22.5). Parsons currently has four sacks ahead of the third week.
Snellings: Yes. Parsons is different. It was obvious when he was a rookie and the fact that he was a rookie was perhaps the biggest factor in his not winning last season. He’s started even better this season, with last year’s DPoY T.J. Watt injured, and Parsons’ ability to play defense at All-Madden level while the offense seems to be set to “easy” bodes well for him.
Fitz: Yeah. Without a doubt. These awards are part game, part advertising. When you get the hype he’s getting right now every single day, losing seems to be his reward. Given the fact that the Cowboys are always getting attention, people see a great player who plays incredibly well. When momentum meets greatness, it’s not a problem for me.
Fortenbo: I would gnaw at +325. He’s a real monster, playing for the most popular franchise in the NFL. Say what you want, but when it comes to Cowboys, even season 6-11 gets a lot of airtime. Parsons will be in the spotlight all year.
Tags: Yes. I said that and put in a ticket before the start of the season. Parsons is a once-a-decade player and has four sacks this season. The Cowboys are finally using him properly as an outside linebacker (rather than an inside linebacker), which allows him to occasionally throw mud at the ground and chase down the quarterback.
walder: I do. Check edge win rate chart in two weeks. Parsons dominates the position in a way we’ve only really seen in players like Aaron Donald. Two-match selection only? Sure, but it comes on the heels of a rookie season in which he led the league in pass rush wins. So yes, I totally buy. Parsons is special.
What is your best bet on a Monday night game?
Schatz: It’s Barkley over 22.5 receiving yards (-137). The linebacker is not a defensive strong point for this giant, and I think Barkley can go into the open a couple of times to gain receiving yards. I expect a game close to his six 30-yard catches in Week 1 against Tennessee.
Snellings: I love that Noah Brown has gone over 37.5 yards on the receiving end (-113). Gallup and Dalton Schultz are both listed as questionable on Monday night, but even if both play, Brown just has solid chemistry with QB Cooper Rush. In his first two games, Brown averaged five receptions for nearly 80 yards, with the vast majority of them…