Football continues this week with Premier League games and more.
So which team should you bet on and what are the main storylines? Our analysts are always ready to provide you with all the necessary information.
Odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
The EPL is back in business this weekend after missing the last international window before the World Cup last weekend. And what could be better than Arsenal (-102) vs Tottenham (+260)? Who do you like and why?
Dan Thomas: Paint. Paint. Paint. Everything in this game seems like it will be a point apiece. Arsenal would dominate and take an early lead, but Spurs would crush them and the trophies would be shared.
Paul Carr: As much as I hate to agree with Dan, a draw (+270) seems like the best bet for a three of a kind. Tottenham are likely to give Arsenal more possession and then look to strike back and Arsenal are not very good at postponing games this season. Spurs have scored in every league game this season, including draws against Chelsea and West Ham, with only one opponent under 0.7 of the expected goal. The Gunners also scored in every game but conceded three goals for an expected 1.6 goals in one game against Big Six rivals Manchester United. A 1-1 or 2-2 final seems to be around the corner.
Dalene Cuff: I know my bias shows up here. The guys above are probably right, a draw is a game. So I’m looking for different angles. Over 2.5 goals, which I love at -145. Both teams will score, I also love at -170. It’s not a good price, but it’s a very good piece that I’ll probably bet some money on. But what I’m definitely going for is a straight bet on the Gunners to win at +105 odds. At home, against their main rival, after the international break… that’s more my heart than head2, but still, if they’re going to be in the top 4 of the club, they need to win these games – which they have. not done in years.
There has been controversy this week over whether Trent Alexander-Arnold deserves to be included in the England squad. Are you willing to take the risk if the Liverpool guy scores against Brighton this week (+2000)?
Carr: He has 14 goals in 235 games for Liverpool, so playing him with +2000 goals makes sense. Thiago Alcantara needs to be healthy and rested in Liverpool’s midfield so the Reds need to be in the form we expected them to be before the start of the season. But if I had to play in this game, I would score one and a half goals in Brighton. The Seagulls have played well away this season, winning at Old Trafford and London, and likely earning at least a point at Craven Cottage. Liverpool and Brighton have similar expected goal numbers this season and while Liverpool always have the potential to knock them out at Anfield, I would go for Brighton +1.5 (-125).
Thomas: Of course! He had a good rest!
Cuff: Sprinkle a flyer with a long shot? Of course, why not? But I don’t think it will hit. I like Paul’s game above but I also think both teams will score, no draw at +145.
Speaking of the Three Lions, their performance in the Nations League last week (lost 1-0 to Italy, draw 3-3 to Germany) didn’t exactly make Nick Pope a fan favourite. Do we see any bets that we would like to take advantage of the residual concussion lingering for the Newcastle goalkeeper when he plays Fulham?
Carr: I love the goals in this game, and not just because of Pope’s international struggles. Fulham have had the most expected goals in the Premier League this season, averaging 3.0 per game, and Newcastle are not far behind at 2.7 expected goals per game. Both teams are also in the top 6 in total shots per game, so there should be a lot of action in front of the net. In addition, Alexander Mitrovic from Fulham is clearly unstoppable. This season he has six goals in seven Premier League matches and last week he scored four goals in two Nations League matches for Serbia. In this match I score over 2.5 goals (-105).
Thomas: Not sure if I like the anti-English tone of the question. Fulham are doing well this season. Meanwhile, we’ve only seen Newcastle shine in episodes. I imagine a draw in this.
Cuff: Fulham were solid at the start of the campaign, picking up 11 points from seven matches to finish in sixth place. They had good results at home (2-0-1) and those victories came from upstart Brighton, Brentford, with a season-opening draw against Liverpool. I like that they protect the Cottage well. There will be goals, but good value in the bilateral market; draw, no bets Fulham +115.
What are you looking at in other European leagues?
Thomas: I would take on the goals at Old Trafford. Should be a completely entertaining tie.
What is your best bet for the weekend?
Carr: Chelsea have squad questions ahead of Saturday’s match at Crystal Palace for reasons ranging from injuries to the international break to Graham Potter’s first Premier League game. Because of this, I prefer the stability of Patrick Vieira’s Palace team, who played well against Arsenal and Liverpool and took a 2-0 lead at the Etihad before Man City became Man City. The likelihood that Chelsea (-116 to win) improved simply by sacking Thomas Tuchel. Maybe it is, but we haven’t seen it yet. I will side with Palace and take half a goal at -105.
Cuff: Southampton take on Everton in what should be a low scoring match. The Saints have only scored seven goals in seven games (with a close in the last two), while Everton have just five goals. However, the Toffees’ away form was consistent, scoring a point in their two away games. I love under 2.5 goals at -120, but I’m also going to tie at +235.