Despite a season already filled with disappointments, there is finally a change in college football playoff prediction for the first time since the events of Week 4. Lost 41-34 to Kansas State on Saturday night, Oklahoma were eliminated from a field of four and replaced by Clemson.
While the Suners’ loss to the Wildcats for the third time in four seasons doesn’t rule them out of the Big 12 championship, the Tigers now have a much better chance of finishing their regular season as undefeated non-ACC conference champions. . Clemson beat Wake Forest 51-45 on Saturday afternoon and looks like he only has one ranked opponent left on his schedule that he’ll get at home (North Carolina State next week).
This week, Michigan beat Maryland 34–27 to become the first team to make the latest pick; however, in the second half of the season, he still has Pennsylvania State’s top 15 programs at home and Ohio State’s on the road.
The other four top teams pitched on Saturday. Georgia wasn’t as impressive as usual despite a 39-22 win over Kent State, Ohio State thrashed Wisconsin 52-21, and Alabama State thrashed Vanderbilt 55-3.
Check back Sunday for Jerry Palm’s full predictions after Week 4.
College football playoffs
|Date||Game / Lock.||Match||Forecast|
|Name of the game||Semi-final winners|
(1) Georgia vs. (4) Clemson
(2) Ohio State vs. (3) Alabama
Clemson’s trade to Oklahoma affected the New Year’s Six bowl. The Sooners are still predicted to win the Big 12 and will now play in the Sugar Bowl against Tennessee. Baylor was previously in the Big 12 in this game, but is now out of the New Year’s Six.
Clemson was targeted for an ACC seat in the Orange Bowl, but it is now assumed to be North Carolina State. If this comes to fruition, this will be the first appearance of the Wolf Pack in a New Year’s Six game. Penn State is still projected to come in second in this game as the highest-ranked team remaining from the Big Ten, SEC, or Notre Dame.
The cotton bowl has also undergone changes. Appalachian State suffered their second loss of the season at home to FBS rookie James Madison. The Dukes are one of two G5 teams that are undefeated for four weeks of the season but are ineligible for the postseason because they are still moving to FBS. The other undefeated team is Coastal Carolina, who are now being projected into a Group of Five spot at the Cotton Bowl to face Oregon. The Ducks replaced USC after winning in Washington state despite the Trojans surviving in Oregon on Saturday night.
Memphis is the only team in 2019 to claim a spot in the Group of Five in the New Year’s Six, having never lost since 2015. Only the Rose Bowl forecast has not changed this week. It’s still expected to be Michigan vs. Utah.
New Year’s games “Six bowls”
|Date||Bowl / Location||Match||Forecast|
Big Ten vs. Pac-12
|Michigan vs. Utah|
on the loose vs on the loose
|Oregon vs. Coastal Carolina|
SEC vs Big 12
|Tennessee vs. Oklahoma|
ACC vs. SEC/B1G/ND
|State of North Carolina v. State of Pennsylvania|
Penn State’s planning for the Orange Bowl has an interesting impact on other bowl games for the Big Ten and the ACC. If the Big Ten places a team in the Orange Bowl, the ACC earns a Big Ten spot in the ReliaQuest Bowl in Tampa. That’s why you see Wake Forest in what is usually a Big Ten game against the SEC.
The forecast for this week consists of four teams, which are expected to be 5-7. Of these, only Rutgers is new to this set of bowl projections.
Don’t see your team? Check out the rest of Jerry Palm’s bowl predictions after week 4.