Buccaneers vs. Saints predictions: Odds, total, player props, trends, streaming for ‘Monday Night Football’

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The New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will wrap up their 13th week in the NFL when the two divisional rivals take to the Monday Night Football stage at Raymond James Stadium.

Even though both of these clubs enter this match under .500, this clash between NFC South rivals will have a big impact on the divisional race. At 5-6, Tampa Bay currently leads the league table, but a loss would reduce their lead to one game against New Orleans and Atlanta. So while it may be lacking in juice given their records, this game has the potential to shake up the NFC playoff picture.

Here we will specifically look at the various betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total, we’ll also look at the props of multiple players and present our picks for how we see this showdown unfold.

All NFL odds through the bookmaker Caesars.

How to watch

Date: Monday 5 December | Time: 8:15 pm ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa)
TELEVISION:
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
To follow: CBS sports app
Chances: Buccaneers -3, O/D/ 41

Line movement

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
money line
Distribute
General

TB

-190

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-3
-130
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U41
-110
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NO

+158

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+3
+110
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U41
-110
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A preview of this line showed that the Pirates were the favorite with 6.5 points. However, the money came to the Saints who pushed that line sharply in the other direction and has since cut it in half as of Monday morning where it sits at Bucs -3.

Choice: Buccaneers -3. It hasn’t been the most memorable season for Tampa Bay, who enter this game with a 3-7-1 ATS record this season. However, the Saints have had no better success (4-8 ATS) and are the only team in the NFL with no road cover this season (0-5 ATS). Part of New Orleans’ struggle was low-quality rushing. Over the past four games, Alvin Camara has seen his rush attempts, yards and yards per carry drop significantly. This coincided with a low performance as the club has only averaged 12.5 points per game since week 9 (the second-lowest in the NFL during this stretch). If the Tampa Bay defense can continue to jam the Saints’ ground attack, it will largely fall on the shoulders of Andy Dalton, who lost seven straight games in prime time by at least eight points.

Key trend: The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against losing teams.

More/Least

Unlike the spread, the total has not moved too drastically since opening at 42.5. The biggest drop occurred after the 12th week, when the number fell to 40.5 by Sunday evening. From there, it hovered between 40 and 40.5 before rising to 41 on Monday morning.

Choice: up to 41 years old. There is a slight slope here. The Saints offense has failed to score any significant points in over a month, averaging 12.5 points per game since Week 9, and now they’re facing a Bucks defense that can certainly stop them again. Meanwhile, this season is under 9-2 for Tampa Bay, which is the second best under percentage in the NFL this season. This year, the Bucks are averaging 36.6 points per game, and in the past three weeks, this figure has fallen even lower (35.3 points per game). In all three division games this year, every game went into the red, and the average total points per game was 30.

Key trend: Under 4-1 in last five meetings.

Tom Brady props

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Tom Brady

TB • QB • #12
CPM%66.2
yards3051
TDfourteen
INT2
Yard/Att6.49

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  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (over -135, under -101)
  • Passage yards: 271.2 (Over +102, Under -139)
  • Passing attempts: 40.5 (over -129, under -106)
  • Passing the longest passage: 36.5 (Over -113, Under -121)
  • Completions: 25.5 (over -125, under -109)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (greater than -104, less than -131)

Brady was a poor football player when he faced the Saints during his tenure with the Bucks. In his six games against New Orleans during this stretch, he had 11 assists, so it can be a bit helpful to take his total steals at -104 despite QB only picking two picks in a year. Dennis Allen’s defense has also given him nervous breakdowns over the years, and he only made 18 passes for 190 yards back in Week 2 against this division (both season lows). With that in mind, we’ll also look at Brady’s 25.5-pass “Less” prop at -125.

Andy Dalton props

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Andy Dalton

NO • QB • #14
CPM%66.4
yards2023
TDfourteen
INT7
Yard/Att7.46

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  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +172, Under -224)
  • Passage yards: 219.5 (-117, under -117)
  • Racing yards: 7.5 (over -108, under -127)
  • Passing attempts: 33.5 (Over +112, Under -154)
  • Passing the longest passage: 33.5 (Over -121, Under -113)
  • Completions: 19.5 (over -137, under +100)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -142, Under +104)

Given Dalton’s difficulties in prime time, his 0.5 interception overs are noteworthy, even at -142. In 26 prime-time games during his career, the Daltons had 24 interceptions. Meanwhile, Dalton has failed to complete more than 33.5 passes since Week 7, which was also the only time he has done so this season. While it may not be of much value, it’s hard to imagine New Orleans hitting the ball 34 or more times in this game.

Player props for consideration

Alvin Kamara total yards: under 48.5 (-115). Camara’s off-field usage has dropped dramatically over the past month and is averaging just nine carries per game. In his last four games, he hasn’t been able to go over 48.5 in total on Monday night, and if his carries continue to hover around the high single digits, he’ll need to be extremely efficient to get past it.

Chris Godwin total receiving yards: over 67.5 (-117). Brady threw Godwin a path early and often. He has double-digit goals in five of his last six games, including last week when he caught 12 of Brady’s 13 shots for a season-high 110 yards. Godwin also overcame that total receiving yards in back-to-back games played on Monday night.



Source: www.cbssports.com