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Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3: Biggest storylines to watch in the trilogy fight from Las Vegas

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Four years after the controversial rematch, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin are about to complete their trilogy. Saturday night in Las Vegas. Unlike the previous two meetings, Alvarez will enter the fight as a significant favorite.

After losing the rematch by decision, Golovkin won four fights in a row, including the IBF middleweight title. Alvarez followed up his final fight with Golovkin, unifying all four world super middleweight titles as well as winning one world light heavyweight title. In his last fight, Alvarez lost a decision to Dmitry Bivol in another bid for the light heavyweight title.

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Alvarez’s undisputed super middleweight titles will be on the line on Saturday as Golovkin looks to avenge himself after drawing and losing to Alvarez in a couple of fights, many observers think Golovkin deserved the win.

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The game has many storylines where two of the greatest fighters of their generation meet for the third time. Let’s take a look at arguably the three biggest fights ahead of one of the biggest fights of 2022.

Is it too late for Golovkin?

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One of the most discussed aspects of the trilogy was the timing. After the first two fights between Golovkin and Alvarez, Alvarez seemed very insistent that he was not interested in another fight with an opponent. It was hard not to see Alvarez’s insistence on coming out on top as understanding that he was lucky to escape 1-0-1 when many thought Golovkin deserved to win both fights.

Then, with Golovkin looking somewhat vulnerable in recent fights, Alvarez suddenly changed his tone and seemed happy to pull off a trilogy.

Golovkin has always had tremendous power, but he has also been a defensively responsible and technical boxer with underestimated speed. This combination gave Alvarez a seizure four years ago, but now Golovkin has slowed down and has shown serious vulnerability to body shots that Alvarez can land with bad intentions.

Alvarez seems to believe that time has caught up with Golovkin and made him vulnerable enough to make 2022 the right time for a trilogy. Golovkin must prove he still has enough gas in the tank to remain a brutal test for the Mexican superstar.

Can Alvarez lose in a win?

If public opinion is that Alvarez was biding his time to use the most vulnerable version of Golovkin to fight in the trilogy, it’s possible that simply winning the fight isn’t enough.

Alvarez already has one controversial victory over Golovkin, apart from a controversial draw in their first meeting. Although Alvarez is still considered the best boxer in the world, Golovkin no longer looks like the fighter he once was. All things considered, it seems that the narrow decision rejection should be considered a disappointment for Alvarez.

According to the odds listed by Caesars Sportsbook, Alvarez is +105 for a decision win and +150 for a stoppage win. This suggests that the bookies are firmly convinced that Alvarez will dominate and be more likely to finish Golovkin than go through the full 12 rounds with him.

While Golovkin isn’t the type to be happy with a “moral victory”, especially over his biggest rival, boxing fans and the media are unlikely to appreciate anything less than Alvarez’s dominating performance.

Did Bivol’s defeat affect Alvarez?

After losing to Floyd Mayweather in 2013, Alvarez showed the ability to bounce back from a loss. Mayweather’s loss was a long time ago and came in a fight that Alvarez likely took too early in his career and at weight when Alvarez may have had to wear himself out too much. After this defeat, Alvarez continued his 16-fight winning streak, jumping between weight classes and amassing a mountain of world titles.

Now Alvarez, 32, used to being a dominant fighter even against the best in the world, is coming out of a fight that reminded him of his mortality as Dmitry Bivol completely outboxed him to win by unanimous decision in May. While Alvarez comes into the fight with Golovkin as a bigger man, which was not the case as he moved up to light heavyweight to try to topple Bivol, every time a fighter loses, it’s fair to wonder if that loss has affected him psychologically.

Alvarez is a strong-willed and confident fighter and it would seem that he should be able to bounce back from the loss to Bivol. However, if this fight has left any doubt in Alvarez’s mind, which translates into hesitation in the fight, it could open up the potential for a big upset for Golovkin.


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