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Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3 fight predictions, odds, undercard, expert pick, preview, date

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Many boxing fans may be wondering why the Canelo Alvarez vs. GGG trilogy took four years to come to fruition. Well, don’t feel lonely because Gennady Golovkin is by your side. As a matter of fact, if it depended on him, it would happen much sooner rather than later.

“This is not a question for me,” Golovkin told Morning Fight last week. “I insisted on a trilogy the day after the judges gave Canelo the win. [in the rematch].”

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To protect Alvarez (57-2-2, 39 KOs), the undisputed super-middleweight champion only fought once more at middleweight after his 2018 rematch with Golovkin (42-1-1, 37 KOs), who is still is the owner of a couple of world titles. at 160 pounds. Alvarez, 32, will defend his four titles this weekend at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.DAZN PPV 8:00 pm ET Subscribe now) in the first fight of their rivalry to take place in the weight category of 168 pounds.

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Alvarez, who had just lost a decision to WBA light heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol in May, didn’t seem to want a trilogy, despite how much money DAZN paid both shortly after the US launch in 2018 in hopes of getting a third. Struggle. Much of this was a feud between the two, fueled not only by a couple of controversial decisions in which GGG felt ripped off, but also by steroid allegations leveled against Alvarez after failing a drug test before their rematch.

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However, when asked by CBS Sports on Wednesday if he was motivated to take on the challenge this time, Alvarez changed his mind.

“Yes, I want [the trilogy]”, said Alvarez. “And if people want it, I really want it. I wanted to come back strong, so I’m very happy to be here. I’m ready for Saturday.”

Can’t get enough of boxing and MMA? Get the latest martial arts news from two of the best in the business. Subscribe to Morning Kombat with Luke Thomas and Brian Campbell for the best analysis and in-depth news, including an early preview of Canelo vs. Golovkin 3 ahead of Saturday’s fight below.

While it’s clear from Golovkin that he still harbors a grudge against Alvarez, who was lucky enough to save a controversial draw in 2017 before beating GGG in their rematch with a contested majority decision, he declined to go so far as to say the third fight was personal. . According to trainer Jonathon Banks, who replaced Abel Sanchez after his second fight with Alvarez, this is where his fighter should be.

“The best way for Gee is to perform without emotion,” Banks told CBS Sports. “It might not work for every fighter, but for this fighter, the best way to start this fight is to keep doing business and keep your emotions at home. If he wants to show his emotions in the locker room, fine. But he doesn’t need them in the ring. It’s going to be a hell of a fight no matter what. As the fight continues, we definitely want to win and want to close the third chapter of this situation. But emotions play no part in it.”

You can also follow the live stream of the trilogy which includes game by game and scoring here.

The first two fights were PPV blockbusters and ultimately exceeded expectations as classic action movies with a high level of skill and intensity. However, the main difference between the four-year hiatus between fights starting this weekend is that Alvarez has ascended the throne as the king of the weight class in several divisions during this time, while Golovkin, in his 40s, began to show his age.

Golovkin, a 4-1 underdog, was the betting favorite going into each of his first two fights. He acknowledged that age makes recovery difficult, and Banks, a student at the late Emanuel Steward’s Kronk Gym, has been hard at work on compensation.

“It’s all about training smarter and just being more efficient at what you’re good at,” Banks said. “When you are young, the goal is to train hard no matter what. As you get older, you have to train smarter. This 40 year old is completely different from the average 40 year old. he just fine-tunes himself so as not to overwork himself.”

However, Golovkin looked much slower despite being 4-0 up after his second fight with Alvarez. In response, he also received far more punishment than fans have ever seen, including a controversial decision victory over Sergei Derevyanchenko, who was in contention for the 2019 Fight of the Year award.

What doesn’t help Golovkin is that Alvarez has steadily evolved from a counterboxer to a haunting knockout threat in recent years, which came as a huge shock to those who watched him lift his weight with him to 168 and 175 pounds. .

Both fighters have amazing chins and neither fell or stopped like a pro. Golovkin, in fact, still maintains that he has never been called out yet, despite having fought close to 400 combined amateur and pro fights. However, most believe that he will need to rely on his super strength to to try to upset his more recent enemy.

“I use this motto all the time: I’d rather have it and not need it than need it and not have it,” Banks said. “I agree that this is going to be a hell of a fight. I want and want Gee to close the show in a dramatic way, but trust me, Canelo can take the hit too. guys. He took the right hand behind the right from G, from which 90% of people fell and never recovered. He took it like it was a piece of meat, he ate it and kept going.”

Alvarez, who has openly stated that he is preparing deliver a knockout this weekend and remove any drawn-out talk of controversy, believes that the third (and presumably last) encounter between the two living legends will also be the most exciting.

“I think it will be the best of the three, I think it will be the best,” Alvarez said. “Obviously he will do his best because, you know, everyone is talking about his age. I’m going to do everything to come back stronger than ever.”

“This fight is very important for my legacy because it will go down in boxing history after this fight. That’s why we fought three times, right? I think this is one of the best fights in the history of boxing.”

Let’s take a closer look at the rest of the undercard before making a prediction and picking the main event.

Battle card, odds

Odds via bookmaker Caesars

  • Canelo Alvarez (c) -500 vs. Gennady Golovkin +380, Undisputed Super Middleweight Championship
  • Jesse Rodriguez (c) -1200 vs. Israel Gonzalez +750, WBC Heavyweight Championship
  • Austin Williams -575 vs. Kieron Conway +425, WBA International Middleweight Championship
  • Diego Pacheco -2500 vs. Enrique Collazo +1200 super middleweight
  • Ali Akhmedov -700 vs. Gabriel Rosado +500, super middleweight


Albert Einstein once described the definition of insanity as repeating the same action over and over again expecting different results. For Golovkin, Saturday’s trilogy will take place in the same ring, against the same opponent and in front of the same state commission, as the first two fights he felt were stolen from him from victory.

Golovkin will also box in front of two judges who have played a major role in the proceedings up to this point: Steve Weisfeld scored against Alvarez in a 115–113 rematch, as did Dave Moretti, who also scored against Golovkin 115–113 in a rematch . first fight. Referee David Sutherland, new to this rivalry, completes the trio with referee Russell Mora.

During the two fights, six different scorecards were presented, and only one of them won Golovkin. Apart from any potential corruption that GGG has often hinted at, there seems to be a good reason why those tasked with declaring the winner ended up favoring Alvarez.

Although Golovkin outscored Alvarez by 40 punches on average in both fights, Alvarez retained the lead in power punches landed, power punch percentage, and body shots. If GGG adopts exactly the same strategy to try and figure Alvarez out without increasing the risk he is willing to take to make up for the loss of speed and stamina, not only is re-losing a decision okay, so this could be his first stop. great career.

Golovkin landed just six and eight body punches respectively in his first two fights. He also had problems landing his right hand in any form against the much faster Alvarez, who used precise upper body movements to avoid said punches, opening up opportunities for counterattacks.

On paper, Golovkin’s style of heavy jab is the perfect setup to drive Alvarez into fits. He cuts the ring as well as anyone historically and can use his jab both as a rangefinder and as a weapon. It can be argued that this is the plan that Bivol used to solve the Alvarez problem in May.

But in this case, Bivol was a natural light heavyweight. Golovkin will move up to super middleweight for the first time, meaning the size advantage he once had over former junior middleweight Alvarez has since been eroded by the Mexican star’s massive weight gain.

Should GGG go all-in and get a knockout as the only hope of winning? Not necessarily, especially considering Alvarez’s equally stubborn chin. But he will need to fight as physically as ever in the clinch to slow down his opponent, and he will need to show a level of persistence that just wasn’t there at the end of his biggest (and closest) fights before.



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