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College football betting: 10 best win total bets entering the 2022 season

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College football season is just around the corner.

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Believe it or not, the first game of the 2022 season is just over three weeks away. The season is so close we delved into the total winnings set by the bookmaker at BetMGM.

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More and more attention will be paid to the futures market as the season approaches, so some of these numbers may change in the coming days. Before that happens, let’s take a look at 10 teams to bet on.

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(All odds via BetMGM)

Iowa over 6.5 (-120)

This looks like a good time to buy Iowa stock at a low price. Expectations for the Cyclones entering the 2021 season were through the roof and they didn’t live up to the hype. Now the Cyclones are stealthy again and play the underdog role. With a disappointing 2021 as motivation, I think ISU will do better than people expect in 2022.

Brock Purdy is a great Iowa State player, but he’s had some tough moments over the past few years. If you believe what the coaches at Ames are telling you, new starting quarterback Hunter Dekkers will step in and do well. He has a solid offensive line and a true No. 1 wide receiver in Xavier Hutchinson, although Breece Hall’s RB will be hard to replace. On defense, the Cyclones could become one of the best in the Big 12 if young supporting players emerge.

And if you look at the schedule, five conference home games (plus Kansas on the road) gives you many possible paths to seven wins.

LSU over 6.5 (-120)

Things have gone wrong under Ed Orgeron lately, but Brian Kelly knows the responsibility well. With the level of talent still on the LSU roster, there is potential for a promising season if players buy into what Kelly preaches.

I’m not a big fan of Jayden Daniels, but the presence of Miles Brennan and illustrious freshman Garrett Nussmeier removes any concerns about the QB position if Daniels doesn’t win the job. Oh, and Kaishon Butte is one of the best receivers in the country. The defensive line needs to be strong, so this bet can come down to how LSU’s transfer additions play out – especially on the offensive line and in the secondary ones.

I’m pretty comfortable playing with over 6.5 wins, but that feeling can fade quickly if the Tigers can’t take care of Florida State in the first week. LSU is currently BetMGM’s favorite with 3 points.

LSU coach Brian Kelly speaks at the NCAA College Football press conference at SEC Media Days on Monday, July 18, 2022 in Atlanta.  (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
LSU coach Brian Kelly speaks at the NCAA College Football press conference at SEC Media Days on Monday, July 18, 2022 in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Mississippi over 6.5 (-120)

MSU was an odd team in 2021. The Bulldogs suffered a horrendous loss to Memphis and an even more horrific loss to Texas Tech in the bowl game, but also upset Texas A&M at College Station and pulled off a 25-point victory over Auburn at the Plains. Even with this volatility, the Bulldogs went 7-5 in the regular season. There are many reasons to believe that they can improve in 2022, but to win this bet, we only need to repeat these seven victories.

This team is very experienced and it starts with the third year of starting QB Will Rogers. He threw for 4,739 yards and threw for 36 touchdowns, succeeding in an air raid by Mike Leach. There’s still room for growth: MSU is ranked last in the SEC’s explosive passing rankings.

On defense, Zach Arnett has proven to be a shrewd Lich mercenary, and his unit is bringing back most of last year’s starting lineup. The kicking game was a disaster but should be much better with the move of Massimo Biscardi (46/57 on FG in Coastal Carolina). I really like this overbet.

Nebraska to 7.5 (-105)

Is Nebraska really going to go from three to eight wins? It would be a shock if the Huskers didn’t get better in 2022, but Scott Frost gave me no confidence that his team could make such a dramatic jump. The Huskers just find ways to lose – the team’s 5-20 record in single possession games during Frost’s tenure is a prime example of this.

Last year, the defense held the Huskers in so many games before the attackers or special teams gave them away. I think the defense will take a step back. I also think that the popular belief that former Texan QB Casey Thompson is significantly better than Adrian Martinez is exaggerated. Without a doubt, Martinez was prone to losses, but he also supported so many foot plays behind a leaky offensive line. In addition, there are very few proven playmakers on offense.

Add these factors to a difficult schedule (starting in the Northwest in Ireland, receiving Oklahoma and closing out the year with Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa) and I don’t think eight wins are realistic.

Oklahoma State to 8.5 (-110)

For much of Mike Gandy’s time in Stillwater, Oklahoma State’s strength was on offense. Last year it was a defense led by Jim Knowles. During the off-season, Knowles left for Ohio State and many of OSU’s top defensemen, especially linebackers and secondaries, are no longer in the program.

If the defense steps back, it will fall on the shoulders of veteran QB Spencer Sanders. Sanders has talent, but he’s taking too many risks even at this late stage in his career. Tay Martin, Sanders’ top target in 2021, has moved to the NFL. Jaylen Warren, 1200 yard runner, and Josh Sills, OSU’s top hitter, too.

I’m not sure Sanders can fill the gap and take this team to nine wins, especially with such a tight schedule in the Big 12 game (Baylor, TCU, Kansas State and Oklahoma).

Pittsburgh to 8.5 (-105)

There is no reason to believe that Pitt’s attack will be as explosive as in 2021. Sure, the offensive line remains intact and there’s solid depth on the running back and receiver, but Kenny Pickett and Jordan Addison have shown special seasons that won’t be replicated. There’s no wide receiver of Addison’s stature on the list, and I think transfer quarterback Kedon Slovis is nationally overrated.

Pitt won by throwing the ball and passing his rivals in 2021, but Pat Narduzzi wants his team to be more balanced in 2022. Now that Frank Cignettitty’s West Coast-style offense is working, I expect the Panthers to take a step back. the middle of the pack in the ACC. And with tough out-of-conference games against West Virginia and Tennessee and ACC road games against Louisville, UNC and Miami, I think 8-4 is the ceiling. Until last season, Pitt had never won eight games in the regular season under Narduzzi, so this is still a good result.

Pittsburgh Head Coach Pat Narduzzi answers a question at the Atlantic Coast NCAA Collegiate Football Conference during Media Days in Charlotte, North Carolina, Thursday, July 21, 2022.  (AP Photo/Nell Redmond)
Pittsburgh Head Coach Pat Narduzzi answers a question at the Atlantic Coast NCAA Collegiate Football Conference during Media Days in Charlotte, North Carolina, Thursday, July 21, 2022. (AP Photo/Nell Redmond)

South Florida to 4.5 (-140)

The first earnings from Jeff Scott at USF were not positive. The Bulls followed a 1-8 record in 2020, going 2-10 in 2021, with only one of his three wins coming against an FBS opponent. There are signs of improvement for the Bulls, but finding five wins in that schedule is no easy task.

USF has BYU, Florida, and Louisville on its non-conference schedule. And then once the Bulls get into the AAC game, maybe there will be one game – at Temple – where they have the upper hand. USF will travel to Cincinnati, Houston and Tulsa (an underestimated hard ride). The Bulls have East Carolina and Tulane at home. They can be won, but SMU and UCF seem like surefire losers. The only game I consider a solid win is the week 2 home game against Howard, an FCS team that went 3-8 last year.

Even with juice at -140 this is a very comfortable game.

USC below 9.5 (-105)

Judging by his track record in Oklahoma, the USC Lincoln Riley hype is probably justified, especially considering Caleb Williams will be his quarterback for the next two seasons. This offense should be very, very good with the talent collected and some leftover elements.

At the same time, getting to 10 wins when you’re trying to put together so many new parts seems like too much of a challenge. I don’t have high hopes for protection either. In 2021, the Trojans have been miserable on this side of the ball, and the passes they bring on defense are a lot less tested than the likes of Caleb Williams, Mario Williams and Travis Dye on offense.

And it doesn’t look like a schedule. The draw from the Pac-12 North is pretty favorable, but the trip to Corvallis to play Oregon State is tricky, especially early in the season. There are also road games against Utah and UCLA and a visit to Notre Dame.

Earlier this summer, I jumped over 9.5 when he was still positive. Even at -105 I’m ready to give it away.

UTSA up to 8.5 (-135)

UTSA had a 12-win season in 2021 and the Roadrunners should still be among the top teams in the US Conference in 2022. and trips to the Army and Texas. If the Roadrunners lose to these three, they will have to go undefeated in the C-USA game to win. There are a few moments where I can assume a miss, especially in November’s away game against UAB.

There are several other factors here. First, it’s really hard for a program to have a better season and then turn around and repeat that record, especially after a year that had so many close wins (Roadrunners were 6-0 in one-score games). . In addition, UTSA will not be easy to replace the oft-used running back Heartfelt McCormick. The OC team from last year, Barry Lunney, also left for Illinois.

Virginia up to 7.5 (-150)

I love quarterback Brennan Armstrong, but I’m pretty sure Virginia won’t get eight wins in their first season under Tony Elliott. The Cavaliers have lost six of last season’s top offensive linemen, including four to a transfer portal.

The receiver group is one of the best in ACC, but there is little proven production on…



Source: sports.yahoo.com

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