Every week, I use this space to tell you what I think are the best bets for the weekend. I’ll also add a upset of the week that will feature a team that is at least the underdog of the touchdown I choose to win. I’ll also tell you about other games featuring potential college football playoff teams. Technically almost everyone is an early season CFP candidate so at least for the first few weeks I will be working with teams that are currently in the top 12 of the top 25 by AP.
Unfortunately, we have our first week where the weather can impact teams’ ability to play their games as Hurricane Yan hits the east coast. Teams have already started announcing alternate plans for their scheduled games and you can track the changes as they are announced via this link here.
I got back into action last week. My picks in week 4 were 2-1 with a near miss in an upset special that now wins 1-2 but has covered all three times. Here are this week’s picks.
No. 17 Texas A&M in Mississippi
Texas A&M wins games by overwhelming opponents and hoping their offense will score enough points to win. Aggie currently has an average score of 18-16 across three FBS games. They are now missing top receiver Inias Smith, who is out for the season with a leg injury last week. Mississippi State’s offense has yet to be tested, but the Bulldogs only scored 16 points on the road at LSU. The amount in this game tends to decrease, but is still too high. Choice: up to 44.5
Illinois in Wisconsin
These are perhaps the two Big Ten teams most dedicated to the game outside of Minnesota. Only the Golden Gophers have scored more goals than Illinois this season, while Wisconsin has the fewest passes of any Big Ten team. It may not be exactly like a service academy match, but the clock has to go fast and points will be hard to come by. Choice: up to 43.5
Perdue 21st in Minnesota
Sometimes one team just has another team’s number. Such is the case in this series, where the Golden Gophers have won eight of the last nine. This time around, Perdue is failing and could be left without a starting quarterback, running back, second-best receiver, and best defenseman. The Boilermakers are also one of the most punished teams in FBS, and in particular, their defense has already thrown eight automatic first down penalties to keep the opponents on the drive. Gophers are gaining momentum and are likely to continue to gain momentum this week. Selected: Minnesota -12
Upset of the week
San Diego State in Boise
In this game, there are two offenses that are battling. Boise State’s offense has gotten so bad that the Broncos fired their offensive coordinator this week and their starting quarterback Hank Bachmeier entered the transfer portal. The Aztecs have yet to score over 20 points against FBS competitors, but they may not need to score much to cause disappointment here. Pick: San Diego State +6, +222 ML
Other CFP candidates
- No. 1 Georgia (-28) in Missouri Select: up to 62 years old
- No. 2 in Alabama (-17.5) and No. 20 in Arkansas Select: Alabama
- Rutgers at Ohio State #3 (O/U 59) Select: Over 59
- No. 4 Michigan (-10.5) in Iowa Select: Michigan
- No. 10 NC State, No. 5 Clemson (-6.5) Select: Clemson
- Arizona at number 6 USC (-26) in Oregon Select: OSK
- No. 7 Kentucky (+6.5) to No. 14 Mississippi Select: Kentucky
- No. 9 Oklahoma State (+2.5) to No. 16 Baylor Select: Baylor
- No. 20 in Florida and No. 11 in Tennessee (-11) Select: Florida
- Northwest ranked 11th in Pennsylvania (-26.5) Chosen: Penn State
- Oregon 12th in Utah (-10.5) Choice: Oregon
Which college football picks can you make with confidence in week five, and which of the top 10 favorites will fail? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and highlight the reversal – all from a proven computer model that has generated over $3,100 in profits over the past six plus seasons – and find out.