Dolphins vs. Bengals: Time, live streaming, how to watch, key matchups, pick for ‘Thursday Night Football’

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So far, the Miami Dolphins have passed all the tests thrown in their way. Defeated Bill Belichick’s Patriots in Week 1, stormed back to defeat Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens in Week 2, and knocked out Super Bowl favorite Buffalo Bills from the undefeated ranks in Week 3. Thursday night their final test comes. in the form of the reigning AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals.

Joe Burrow & Co. took their first win of the season, a laugh against the New York Jets. Previously, they were 0-2 up against the likes of Mitchell Trubisky’s Pittsburgh Steelers and Cooper Rush’s Dallas Cowboys. Thus, this is probably the strongest opponent they have had to face to date. This is especially true due to Miami’s playing style on defense, which can create serious problems for the Bengals.

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So will the Dolphins remain invincible? Or will the Bengals give them their first loss of the young season? We’ll find out soon enough. Before we break down the match, here’s how you can watch the game:

How to watch

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Date: Thursday 29 September | Time: 8:20 pm ET
Location: PayCor Stadium (Cincinnati)
Stream: Amazon Prime Video
To follow: CBS sports app
Chances: Bengals -4, G/D 47

Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins
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When the dolphins have the ball

At the start of this season, the Dolphins are arguably the most exciting offense in the NFL. New head coach Mike McDaniel was the San Francisco games coordinator and was expected to bring in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense that relied heavily on the concepts of running and playing action, the fake passing. Only a few of them happened.

According to Tru Media, Miami ranks second in the NFL for passing passes, not for successful shots. McDaniel did borrow some of Shanahan’s concepts in the running game and especially in game action, but the Dolphins are shotgun-operated at a much faster pace and include a lot more concepts of running and passing options than McDaniel’s former team – presumably. because it is in these areas that Tua Tagovailoa feels most comfortable.

It all works pretty well so far. The Dolphins currently rank fourth in their third-loss conversion rate and share of their 10-yard or over plays; third in yards per game and scoring; second place in the EPA for the game and the proportion of their drives that failed three times; and first place in points per disc. They disperse the defense like a razor with all possible speed on the field. Each shot of Tyreke Hill attracts a lot of attention. Jaylen Waddle takes advantage. Both of these players open wide shooting lines in midfield.

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Tua Tagovailoa

MIA • QB • 1

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Pretty much the only thing that doesn’t work at a high level is the running game itself, which is an interesting development. Neither Chase Edmonds nor Raheem Mostert have yet been able to truly get on the right track. Part of it is a three-man game that is good at stopping runs in the Patriots, Ravens, and Bills. Part of it is the offensive line, which, while improved, is still below average. And part of that is because runners themselves don’t do much to break tackles or create yards after contact.

Yet despite the lack of overnight success, Miami’s passing game has been elite, with Tagovailoa faking a run in 39.1% of his throwbacks, the second most in football. As the Dolphins went into a fake run on the first down, Tagovailoa completed 19 of 23 passes (82.6%) for 289 yards (12.6 per try). He only took one sack on those dropbacks and threw the ball 20 or more yards outfield 26.1% of the time. It all ended and he recorded fourth in the league in EPA per game average in those games.

The question in this game is not so much whether the Dolphins can find a way to move the ball on the ground, but whether the Cincinnati linebackers and defensemen can resist the temptation to come out and join the run in uniform when the Dolphins actually throwing the ball. One wrong move and Hill, Waddle, or both of them will beat you – either too fast or on the move. So far, Tagovailoa has demonstrated the ability to locate them in outer space with high accuracy. Assuming he is below center, the only way to prevent this is to dominate the game up front and dislodge him as soon as he hits the top of his retreat – a feat made more difficult by the fact that he so often acts at random, and so it doesn’t use as many traditional dropbacks.

When the bengals have the ball

Cincinnati is having its best game of the season, and it’s probably no coincidence that after facing Cover 2, Joe Burrow’s 36.7% retreat in Week 1 against the Steelers and his 50% retreat in Week 2 against Cowboys According to Tru Media, the Bengals saw ONE Cover-2 shot against the Jets in Week 3. In those first two games, Burrow was 25-of-34 for 243 yards, three interceptions, and an incredible nine sacks against the Cover-2. It’s worth noting that Burrow only faced Cover 2 77 times in all of last season, and the incredible rise earlier this year was likely designed to take away the “let’s just toss this to Ja’Marr Chase at heart” part. the sideline” which was so successful for Cincinnati last year.

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Joe Burrow

CIN • QB • 9

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This season, the Dolphins played Cover 2 with 14.6% of passing snaps, up from last year’s 7.6%. However, they were mostly a team with one high coverage, playing Cover 1 or Cover 3 in 57.5% of shots. They also used the highest Cover-0 in the NFL at 14.6%. It will be interesting to see how defensive coordinator Josh Boyer balances things out in this matchup. Miami loves the blitz, and thus could potentially overwhelm what was the Bengals’ heavily suppressed offensive line. But the Dolphins also may not need to blitz as much to pressure Burrow, and by leaving more defenders in cover, they could use more of the two-tier stuff that has plagued the Bengals so far this season.


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