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Fantasy Baseball: Have Marlins hitters been getting a surprising boost?

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LoanDepot Park has officially become a strikers venue?

Not too long ago, the Miami Marlins were considered a soft landing in fantasy baseball. They were a streamer’s paradise, a team that any well-placed starting pitcher could easily go up against. Their home stadium was the place where offense died, a suffocating pit of lazy balls, disappointments and disappointments.

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So what the hell is going on in 2022?

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The Marlins are currently in the middle of the rankings in most offensive categories this season (15th in runs, 13th in HR, 14th in AVG, 15th in SLG), but this is a drastic change. if you compare these numbers with their 2021. colleagues (Miami placed 29th in heats, 28th in HR, 28th in AVG and 29th in SLG).

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Not impressive enough for you? I understand; we are only in June.

But also, we are already in June. And speaking of which, let’s just take a look at the Marlins games since the beginning of the month. There have been a total of twelve Marlins games to date, many of which have been played at their home stadium, LoanDepot Park.

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Now if you know anything about Park Factors – inimitable Dalton Del Don writes a column each season about how the updated Park Factors should affect fantasy drafts – then you know it usually takes about three years of data for real, offensive-changing effects to be revealed after a stadium change.

Well, it’s been almost three years since Marlins management decided to move center field and right field more to increase home runs.

I think it works.

Jesus Sanchez #7 of the Miami Marlins has some fantasy value
Jesús Sanchez hit a huge homer last night en route to a quality fantasy day. (Photo by Michael Reeves/Getty Images)

As of now, LoanDepot Park is unofficially ranked #10 on the Park Factor and #14 on the Park Factor for home runs, a far cry from its terrible record in the past. Last night alone, in a 9-8 home win over the Rockies, the Marlins hitters collected 13 hits—before the long drive, they collected 10 hits at home against the Nationals, scoring 9 and 7 runs, respectively.

Everything changes in Miami.

So what does this mean?

Well, first of all, it means Sandy Alcantara deserves more flowers than he got as he was able to put together a 7-2 record with a measly 1.72 ERA. It is extremely unlikely that he will end up with an ERA anywhere close to that, especially with the onset of hot weather. It may be next to impossible to fish out Alcantara from another manager in a deal, but he’s at least worth checking out using the regression specter to your advantage.

But let’s move on to something more powerful. The only Marlins forward featured in most leagues is the electrifying Jazz Chisholm Jr. After him, only two more Marlin – John Bertie as well as Jorge Soler represented in more than 50 percent of the leagues. All three of these hitters should be on your fantasy trading radar if you’re after homers (Chishholm and Soler have xSLGs well above their current numbers) and steals/runs (Bertie never seems to have come across a base he wouldn’t want to steal, and it was also parked at the top of the Marlins line).

Apart from these, we may find some value in the waiver wiring, depending on your league size and needs.

Jesus Sanchez (21 percent on the list) was activated yesterday from COVID IL and went 2-for-4 with two shots against Colorado. He had a problem with playing time, but perhaps now that he is healthy, the Marlins will give him more opportunities. He’s worth keeping an eye on if you need power.

The real way here might be Garret Cooperwho somehow appears in just 33 percent of the leagues, despite having a six-game hitting streak and typically finishing in the top three or four spots on the roster.

Cooper is hitting a superb .310/.378/.452 in 210 at-bats, but it’s his expected numbers that should send fantasy managers running for the denial wire (just take a look at his statcast page). He is also eligible for first base and outfield; always a plus.

We don’t know if the Marlins will continue to rise in the offensive ranks, whether it’s due to their fleet, their improved lineup, or a combination of both. Right now we have the data, but it’s not concrete yet. However, for many of us, we have to accept what we see as fact right now – and right now Marlins are mashed.

It is worth having one or two fish in your fantasy lineups.


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