Latest Posts

Fantasy Baseball Week 3: Trade values for Rotisserie and H2H suggest patience with a struggling Gerrit Cole

- Advertisement -

The top of the starting pitching ranks looks kind of like a mess right now. With the obvious caveat that most starters aren’t even three appearances into their season, anyone who spent an early-round pick on the likes of Gerrit Cole, Shane Bieber, Julio Urias, Zack Wheeler, Lucas Giolito, Robbie Ray, or Aaron Nola probably isn’t thrilled about their early returns so far. And they aren’t alone.

- Advertisement -

It’s especially frustrating to watch your aces struggle when offense as a whole has been down around baseball. Entering play Wednesday, the league ERA is 3.83, compared to 4.27 last season; it’s even lower than the 3.99 mark we saw last April when we seemingly had a no-hitter every week. We’ve seen signs that, whether due to changes in the production of the ball or the introduction of the humidor across all 30 parks – or perhaps some other factor, like the weather – the ball isn’t traveling as well as it has in recent years. Watching your ace struggle in that context is even worse.

- Advertisement -

But I’m here to remind you that it isn’t time to panic just yet. That’s not necessarily equally true for every player, of course, but generally speaking, we just haven’t seen enough action so far to justify changing your opinion about any player dramatically. Take Cole, for example. Surely, plenty of Fantasy players had concerns about making him the No. 1 pitcher off the board after his struggles following the sticky-stuff crackdown last year, as he had a 4.15 ERA from June 1 on, when the crackdown started. Cole was, of course, still a very good pitcher in that stretch, but he failed to average six innings per start and was no help in ERA while sporting a 1.20 WHIP – solid numbers, but not difference-making stuff.

- Advertisement -

And now here he sits, with a 6.35 ERA and 1.412 WHIP through three starts. He has yet to get through six innings in a start, and the two runs he allowed in 1.2 innings in Tuesday’s start against the Tigers were actually the fewest he’s allowed in any of his first three starts. This has been a legitimately bad start to the season for Cole.

But trading him right now would probably be a mistake. I’ve dropped his value just a bit in the trade values ​​charts, pushing him down to where Max Scherzer and Corbin Burnes are rather than in a tier of his own among starters, but that doesn’t mean I’m abandoning ship.

What would cause me to? Well, you can look at someone like Ray or Bieber for a better example of a pitcher. I’m legitimately worried about. Velocity isn’t everything, but it’s often the most direct sign we get of something being wrong with a pitcher in a small sample size. And, while Ray and Bieber have both had very concerning starts in that regard, Cole is right where he usually is, sitting among the hardest throwing starters in the game.

That’s not to say there’s nothing to be concerned about with Cole. His struggles post-June last season might have been a bit overstated — you’ll hear some folks say he was bad, and that wasn’t the case at all — but he wasn’t a first-round caliber pitcher, either . He was more prone to command issues and homers after the crackdown last season, and we’ve seen similar trends early on. Which is why I’m less comfortable saying I’d definitely take him over Scherzer or Burnes than I was even three weeks ago.

But that’s not the same thing as saying I think you need to trade Cole before the bottom falls out, because I don’t think there’s much risk of that happening. Within the context of the other early-round pitchers, I’m still a lot more worried about Ray, Bieber, Urias, Wheeler, and Nola, none of whom have the same floor or ceiling as Cole. It’s actually kind of hard to find an early-round pitcher who has really helped their cause in the early going – Justin Verlander is one obvious example, and he’s arguably the fastest-rising player in my trade charts over the first few weeks.

Which is to say, as frustrated as you are with Cole, it could be worse. There are no injury red flags here; he just hasn’t pitched well. That’ll happen sometimes, and if Cole had a three-start stretch like this in August, you wouldn’t bat an eye. The track record here is long enough that you should still bet on him being among the best pitchers in the game. If not necessarily the best.

Here’s how I’m viewing the current landscape at starting pitcher and beyond for both H2H points and Roto leagues as of Week 3:

Week 3 Rotisserie Trade Value

Rank Player value Eligible Change from last week
one Trea Turner 41 2B-SS
2 Juan Soto, W.A.S., RF 41 OF
3 Vladimir Guerrero, TOR, 1B 41 1B-DH
4 Jose Ramirez, CLE, 3B 39 3B
5 Bo Bichette, TOR, SS 36 SS
6 Mookie Betts, LAD, RF 36 OF
7 Mike Trout, LAA, CF 36 OF
eight Bryce Harper 36 OF
nine Shohei Ohtani, LAA, DH 36 DH-SP
ten Freddie Freeman, L.A.D., 1B 34 1B
eleven Kyle Tucker 34 OF
12 Gerrit Cole, NYY, SP 34 SP -one
thirteen Max Scherzer, NYM, SP 33 SP
fourteen Corbin Burnes, MIL, SP 33 SP +2
fifteen Manny Machado SD 3B 31 3B
sixteen Ronald Acuna, ATL, RF 31 OF
17 Rafael Devers, B.O.S., 3B 31 3B
eighteen Luis Robert, CHW, CF 31 OF
nineteen Brandon Woodruff, MIL, SP thirty SP
20 Ozzie Albies, ATL, 2B thirty 2B
21 Cedric Mullins 29 OF
22 Whit Merrifield, KC, 2B 28 2B-OF
23 George Springer, TOR, CF 28 DH-OF
24 Byron Buxton, MIN, CF 27 OF
25 Teoscar Hernandez, TOR, RF 27 OF
26 Aaron Judge NYY RF 27 DH-OF
27 Starling Marte, NYM, CF 27 OF
28 Salvador Perez, KC, C 27 C-DH
29 Jordan Alvarez, HOU, DH 27 DH-OF
thirty Marcus Semien, TEX, 2B 27 2B-SS
31 Matt Olson, ATL, 1B 27 1B +1
32 Nick Castellanos, PHI, RF 27 DH-OF +1
33 Trevor Story, BOS, SS 27 2B-SS
34 Xander Bogaerts, BOS, SS 26 SS
35 Walker Buehler, LAD, SP 26 SP
36 Ketel Marte, ARI, CF 26 2B-OF
37 Jose Altuve, HOU, 2B 25 2B
38 Justin Verlander 25 SP +7
39 Corey Seager, TEX, SS 24 SS
40 Tim Anderson, CHW, SS 24 SS
41 Paul Goldschmidt, STL, 1B 24 1B
42 Sandy Alcantara, MIA, SP 24 SP +2
43 Kevin Gausman, TOR, SP 24 SP +4
44 Pete Alonso, NYM, 1B 24 1B
45 Jose Abreu, CHW, 1B 22 1B
46 Brandon Lowe, TB, 2B 21 2B
47 Julio Urias, LAD, SP 21 SP -one
48 Robbie Ray, S.E.A., SP 20 SP -4
49 Zack Wheeler, PHI, SP 20 SP +1
fifty Aaron Nola 20 SP +1
51 Lucas Giolito, CHW, SP nineteen SP
52 Tyler O’Neill nineteen OF -one
53 Liam Hendriks, CHW, RP nineteen RP
54 Austin Riley nineteen 3B
55 Josh Hader, MIL, RP eighteen RP
56 Francisco Lindor, NYM, SS eighteen SS
57 Shane Bieber eighteen SP -one
58 Carlos Rodon, SF, SP eighteen SP
59 Carlos Correa, MIN, SS eighteen SS
60 Kris Bryant, COL, LF eighteen 3B-OF
61 Charlie Morton eighteen SP
62 Christian Yelich, MIL, LF eighteen OF
63 Bryan Reynolds, PIT, CF eighteen OF
64 Giancarlo Stanton, NYY, DH eighteen DH-OF
65 Seiya Suzuki CHC RF eighteen OF +3
66 JD Martinez, B.O.S., D.H. eighteen DH-OF
67 Nolan Arenado, STL, 3B 17 3B
68 Kyle Schwarber, PHI, LF 17 OF
69 Eloy Jimenez, CHW, LF 17 OF
70 Wander Franco, TB, SS 17 SS
71 Javier Baez, DET, SS 17 2B-SS
72 Adalberto Mondesi, KC, 3B 17 3B-SS
73 Max Fried, ATL, SP 17 SP
74 Jorge Polanco, MIN, 2B 17 2B-SS
75 Will Smith, L.A.D., C sixteen C
76 Alex Bregman, HOU, 3B sixteen 3B
77 Freddy Peralta, MIL, SP sixteen SP
78 Joe Musgrove sixteen SP
79 Anthony Rendon, LAA, 3B fifteen 3B
80 Emmanuel Clase, CLE, RP fifteen RP
81 Nelson Cruz, WAS, DH fourteen D.H. -one
82 Edwin Diaz, NYM, RP thirteen RP -one
83 Raisel Iglesias, LAA, RP thirteen RP -one
84 Joey Votto, CIN, 1B thirteen 1B -one
85 Clayton Kershaw thirteen SP +3
86 Logan Webb, SF, SP thirteen SP +2
87 JT Realmuto, PHI, C thirteen C
88 Randy Arozarena, TB, LF thirteen OF -one
89 Mitch Haniger, S.E.A., RF thirteen DH-OF
90 Franmil Reyes, CLE, DH thirteen D.H.
91 Frankie Montas, OAK, SP thirteen SP +1
92 Pablo Lopez 12 SP +1
93 Jose Berrios, TOR, SP 12 SP -2
94 Jazz Chisholm, MIA, 2B 12 2B-SS
95 Craig Kimbrel, LAD, RP 12 RP
96 Bobby Witt, KC, SS 12 3B-SS -one
97 CJ Cron, COL, 1B 12 1B
98 Kenley Jansen 12 RP
99 Ryan Pressly, HOU, RP 12 RP -one
100 Aroldis Chapman, NYY, RP 12 RP
101 Lourdes Gurriel, TOR, LF 12 OF
102 Trevor Rogers, MIA, SP 12 SP
103 Jonathan India, CIN, 2B 12 2B
104 Max Muncy, L.A.D., 1B 12 1B-2B
105 Tommy Edman STL 2B 12 2B-OF
106 Yu Darvish, SD, SP 12 SP
107 Willy Adames 12 SS
108 Jordan Romano, TOR, RP 12 RP
109 Rhys Hoskins, PHI, 1B 12 1B
110 Shane McClanahan, TB, SP 12 SP
111 Marcell Ozuna, ATL, LF 12 OF
112 Jesse Winker, SEA, LF eleven OF -one
113 Fernando Tatis, SD, SS eleven OF-SS
114 Justin Turner, LAD, 3B eleven 3B-DH
115 Joey Gallo NYY RF eleven OF
116 Chris Bassitt, NYM, SP eleven SP
117 Josh Bell eleven 1B
118 Luke Voit, SD, 1B eleven 1B-DH
119 Jake Cronenworth SD 2B eleven 1B-2B-SS
120 Dansby Swanson, ATL, SS eleven SS
121 Dylan CeaseCHWSP eleven SP
122 Yasmani Grandal, CHW, C ten C -one
123 Ty France, SEA, 1B ten 1B-2B-DH -one
124 Cody Bellinger LAD CF ten OF
125 Framber Valdez, HOU, SP ten SP +1
126 Carlos Carrasco, NYM, SP ten SP +5
127 Alek Manoah, TOR, SP nine SP -one
128 Taylor Rogers SD RP nine RP -one
129 Spencer Torkelson, DET, 1B nine 1B
130 Eduardo Rodriguez, DET, SP nine SP -2
131 Sean Manaea SD nine SP
132 Patrick Sandoval, LAA, SP nine SP
133 Nathan Eovaldi, BOS, SP nine SP -one
134 Alex Verdugo, BOS, LF eight OF -one
135 Jorge Soler, MIA, RF eight DH-OF -one
136 Jarred Kelenic, SEA, CF eight OF -2
137 Julio Rodriguez, S.E.A., RF eight OF -4
138 Logan Gilbert, S.E.A., SP eight SP +3
139 Randal Grichuk, COL, CF eight OF -one
140 Hunter Renfroe, MIL, RF eight OF -one
141 Giovanny Gallegos, STL, RP eight RP +1
142 Tyler Mahle, CIN, SP 7 SP
143 Chris Taylor 7 2B-OF-SS -2
144 Adolis Garcia, TEX, CF 7 OF -2
145 Brandon Crawford SF 7 SS
146 Trent Grisham, SD, CF 7 OF -one
147 Yoan Moncada, CHW, 3B 7 3B
148 Robbie Grossman, DET, LF 7 OF -one
149 Austin Meadows, DET, LF 7 DH-OF -one
150 Mitch Garver, TEX, C 7 C
151 Avisail Garcia, MIA, RF 7 OF
152 Daulton Varsho, ARI, CF 7 C-OF
153 Jared Walsh, LAA, 1B 7 1B
154 DJ LeMahieu, NYY, 2B 7 1B-2B-3B
155 Eddie Rosario 7 OF
156 Luis Severino, NYY, RP 7 RP +2
157 Josh Donaldson, NYY, 3B 6 3B-DH -one
158 Brandon Belt, SF, 1B 6 1B -one
159 Willson Contreras, CHC, C 6 C
160 Matt Chapman, TOR, 3B 6 3B
161 Ryan Mountcastle 6 1B-DH-OF
162 Yuli Gurriel, HOU, 1B 5 1B -one
163 Luis Garcia, HOU, SP 5 SP -one
164 Jesus Luzardo, MIA, SP 5 SP
165 Merrill Kelly, ARI, SP 5 SP N/R
166 Blake Snell SD 5 SP
167 Lance…



Source: www.cbssports.com

- Advertisement -

Latest Posts

Don't Miss