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Fantasy Baseball: Week 6 Trade values for Rotisserie and H2H show Julio Rodriguez’s improving skill set

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The past few years have been a struggle for some of the more high profile prospects out there. Jarred Kelenic, who is hitting .131/.221/.294 with a 37% strikeout rate to open this season after a disappointing rookie campaign, is the poster child for the struggling top prospects, but he is by no means alone – Jo Adell and Joshua Lowe were recently sent down after entering the season with some hype.

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Julio Rodriguez looks like he fits in with that group, with a pretty paltry .255/.317/.345 line and 32.5% strikeout rate through the first 30 games of his career. However, as you can see in this week’s trade values ​​chart, I’m actually viewing Rodriguez as a pretty strong buy right now.

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To a certain extent, his 10 stolen bases are carrying a lot of weight for that argument. As they say, speed doesn’t slump, and Rodriguez has plenty to spare, ranking in the 99th percentile in sprint speed despite standing 6-foot-3, 228 pounds as a 21-year-old. He may not remain a big-time stolen base threat for his entire career, but Rodriguez seemingly has a green light to run and is taking advantage of it.

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If nothing else, Rodriguez’s speed makes him a must-start option in category-based formats, but there are reasons to buy into him beyond that. The overall strikeout rate remains pretty ugly, but part of that was clearly just a result of him adjusting to his first taste of the majors. Culminating with a four-strikeout game on April 21, Rodriguez had struck out in 22 of his first 48 plate appearances, a ghastly 46% rate.

In 18 games since, Rodriguez has struck out 24% of the time, a much more manageable rate. Rodriguez was victimized early on by some pretty bad umpiring, with eight of those first 22 strikeouts coming on called third strikes that were out of the strike zone, something’s Justin Choi cataloged here. Rodriguez had the third-lowest swing rate on two-strike pitches in the league, which helps explain why he found himself in those situations, but that many called third strikes on borderline pitches was never going to be sustainable.

Rodriguez has been a bit more aggressive since, but we’re not talking about a huge change – his overall swing rate has gone up from 49.5% in those first 12 games to 51.5% since. The bigger change is that he’s just making a lot more contact in that time, with a 75% contact rate compared to a 65% rate in that first time period. That’s like going from one of the worst contact rates in baseball to a regular old bad one – Jose Abreu’s contact rate last season was 74.8%, good for 87th out of 132 qualifiers, while Miguel Sano ranked 130th with a 65% mark.

Rodriguez is making the adjustments we want to see, and he’s not getting squeezed by the umps as much, which certainly helps. And his quality of contact numbers are pretty great, which isn’t surprising, given his skill set – he ranks in the 71st percentile in average exit velocity and 86th percentile in hard-hit rate. His barrel rate of 7% isn’t as good as you’d want to see, but he’s making progress there too, dropping his groundball rate from 59% in those first 12 games to 47% since.

There are going to continue to be rough patches and growing pains for Rodriguez, because that’s just how things go. But he’s showing a very valuable skill set for Fantasy, just as we hoped he would, and he seems to be getting better as he goes on. The Mariners had him batting third for a few games recently when JP Crawford was out, a sign of their growing confidence in him.

Rodriguez’s value is rising, and I’m viewing him as a buy-high candidate. Given the state of the outfield position outside of the top 30 or so these days, it wouldn’t take much for him to leap into that range in the rankings either. Get in before it’s too late.

Here are the trade values ​​for H2H points and Roto leagues as of Week 6:

Week 6 Rotisserie Trade Values

RankPlayervalueEligible+Change from last week
one Trea Turner412B-SS
2 Juan Soto, W.A.S., RF41OF
3 Ronald Acuna, ATL, RF41OF
4 Vladimir Guerrero, TOR, 1B411B-DH
5 Jose Ramirez, CLE, 3B393B-DH
6 Mike Trout, LAA, CF39OF+3
7 Bo Bichette, TOR, SS36SS
eight Bryce Harper36DH-OF
nine Shohei Ohtani, LAA, DH36DH-SP
ten Freddie Freeman, L.A.D., 1B341B
eleven Kyle Tucker34OF
12 Gerrit Cole, NYY, SP34SP
thirteen Max Scherzer, NYM, SP33SP
fourteen Corbin Burnes, MIL, SP33SP
fifteen Manny Machado SD 3B313B
sixteen Mookie Betts, LAD, RF31OF
17 Rafael Devers, B.O.S., 3B313B
eighteen Luis Robert, CHW, CF31OF
nineteen Ozzie Albies, ATL, 2Bthirty2B
20 George Springer, TOR, CF28DH-OF
21 Byron Buxton, MIN, CF27DH-OF
22 Starling Marte, NYM, CF27OF
23 Matt Olson, ATL, 1B271B
24 Aaron Judge NYY RF27DH-OF
25 Salvador Perez, KC, C27C-DH
26 Carlos Rodon, SF, SP27SP+5
27 Jordan Alvarez, HOU, DH27DH-OF
28 Nick Castellanos, PHI, RF27DH-OF
29 Brandon Woodruff, MIL, SP27SP-3
thirty Cedric Mullins27OF
31 Walker Buehler, LAD, SP26SP
32 Xander Bogaerts, BOS, SS26SS
33 Ketel Marte, ARI, CF262B-OF
34 Teoscar Hernandez, TOR, RF26OF
35 Whit Merrifield, KC, 2B262B-OF-one
36 Jose Altuve, HOU, 2B252B
37 Tim Anderson, CHW, SS25SS
38 Justin Verlander25SP
39 Corey Seager, TEX, SS24SS
40 Trevor Story, BOS, SS242B-SS-2
41 Kevin Gausman, TOR, SP24SP
42 Paul Goldschmidt, STL, 1B241B
43 Sandy Alcantara, MIA, SP24SP
44 Pete Alonso, NYM, 1B241B-DH
45 Austin Riley243B
46 Brandon Lowe, TB, 2B212B
47 Julio Urias, LAD, SP21SP
48 Francisco Lindor, NYM, SS20SS+2
49Jose Abreu, CHW, 1B201B-DH-2
fifty Zack Wheeler, PHI, SP20SP
51 Josh Hader, MIL, RP20RP
52 Aaron Nola20SP+1
53 Lucas Giolito, CHW, SPnineteenSP
54 Liam Hendriks, CHW, RPnineteenRP
55 Wander Franco, TB, SSnineteenSS+2
56 Nolan Arenado, STL, 3Beighteen3B
57 Marcus Semien, TEX, 2Beighteen2B-SS-eight
58 Carlos Correa, MIN, SSeighteenSS
59 Tyler O’NeilleighteenOF
60 Seiya Suzuki CHC RFeighteenOF
61 Christian Yelich, MIL, LFeighteenDH-OF
62 Bryan Reynolds, PIT, CFeighteenOF
63 Giancarlo Stanton, NYY, DHeighteenDH-OF
64 JD Martinez, B.O.S., D.H.eighteenDH-OF
65 Kyle Schwarber, PHI, LFeighteenOF
66 Jazz Chisholm, MIA, 2B172B-SS
67 Kris Bryant, COL, LF173B-OF
68 Max Fried, ATL, SP17SP
69 Robbie Ray, S.E.A., SP17SP-3
70 Shane Bieber17SP-one
71 Alex Bregman, HOU, 3Bsixteen3B
72 Freddy Peralta, MIL, SPsixteenSP
73 Joe MusgrovesixteenSP
74 Emmanuel Clase, CLE, RPfifteenRP
75 Javier Baez, DET, SSfifteen2B-SS-2
76 Nelson Cruz, WAS, DHfifteenD.H.
77 Pablo LopezfourteenSP
78 Edwin Diaz, NYM, RPfourteenRP
79 Raisel Iglesias, LAA, RPfourteenRP
80 Clayton KershawthirteenSP
81 Dylan CeaseCHWSPthirteenSP
82 JT Realmuto, PHI, CthirteenC
83 Charlie MortonthirteenSP
84 Will Smith, L.A.D., CthirteenC-3
85 Logan Webb, SF, SPthirteenSP
86 Cody Bellinger LAD CFthirteenOF
87 Shane McClanahan, TB, SPthirteenSP
88 Anthony Rendon, LAA, 3B123B-one
89 Frankie Montas, OAK, SP12SP
90 Carlos Carrasco, NYM, SP12SP
91 Alek Manoah, TOR, SP12SP
92 Randy Arozarena, TB, LF12DH-OF
93 Mitch Haniger, S.E.A., RF12DH-OF
94 Jordan Romano, TOR, RP12RP
95 Jose Berrios, TOR, SP12SP
96 Craig Kimbrel, LAD, RP12RP
97 Bobby Witt, KC, SS123B-SS
98 Franmil Reyes, CLE, DH12DH-OF
99 Willy Adames12SS
100 CJ Cron, COL, 1B121B-DH
101 Tommy Edman STL 2B122B-OF
102 Kenley Jansen12RP
103 Jorge Polanco, MIN, 2B122B-SS
104 Aroldis Chapman, NYY, RP12RP
105 Lourdes Gurriel, TOR, LF12DH-OF
106 Jonathan India, CIN, 2B122B
107 Yu Darvish, SD, SP12SP
108 Rhys Hoskins, PHI, 1B121B
109 Marcell Ozuna, ATL, LFelevenDH-OF-one
110 Jesse Winker, SEA, LFelevenOF
111 Fernando Tatis, SD, SSelevenOF-SS
112 Justin Turner, LAD, 3Beleven3B-DH
113 Chris Bassitt, NYM, SPelevenSP
114 Josh Belleleven1B
115 Joey Votto, CIN, 1Bten1B-2
116 Ty France, SEA, 1Bten1B-2B-DH
117 Daulton Varsho, ARI, CFtenC-OF+3
118 Framber Valdez, HOU, SPtenSP
119 Connor Joenine1B-DH-OF
120 Taylor Rogers SD RPnineRP
121 Max Muncy, L.A.D., 1Bnine1B-2B-3B-DH-3
122 Ryan Pressly, HOU, RPnineRP
123 Randal Grichuk, COL, CFnineOF
124 Joey Gallo NYY RFnineOF
125 Yasmani Grandal, CHW, CnineC-DH-2
126 Spencer Torkelson, DET, 1Bnine1B
127 Anthony Rizzo, NYY, 1Bnine1B
128 Luke Voit, SD, 1Bnine1B-DH
129 Jake Cronenworth SD 2Bnine1B-2B-SS
130 Sean Manaea SDnineSP
131 Kyle WrightnineSP
132 Trevor Rogers, MIA, SPeightSP-4
133 Patrick Sandoval, LAA, SPeightSP
134 Alex Verdugo, BOS, LFeightOF
135 Logan Gilbert, S.E.A., SPeightSP
136 Mike Clevinger, SD, SPeightSP+3
137 Dansby Swanson, ATL, SSeightSS
138 Giovanny Gallegos, STL, RPeightRP-one
139 Eduardo Rodriguez, DET, SPeightSP
140Julio Rodriguez, S.E.A., RFeightOF +2
141Jarred Kelenic, SEA, CF7OF
142 Tylor Megill, NYM, SP7SP+2
143 Jesus Luzardo, MIA, SP7SP+2
144 Hunter Renfroe, MIL, RF7OF
145 Zac Gallen, ARI, SP7SP+2
146 Chris Taylor72B-OF-SS
147 Jorge Soler, MIA, RF7DH-OF
148 Eric Lauer, MIL, SP7SPNR
149 Adolis Garcia, TEX, CF7OF
150 Alex Cobb, SF, SP7SP+2
151 Luis Castillo, CIN, SP7SP+2
152 DJ LeMahieu, NYY, 2B71B-2B-3B
153 Eddie Rosario7OF
154 Ke’Bryan Hayes, PIT, 3B73B
155 Luis Severino, NYY, RP7RP-SP
156 Nathan Eovaldi, BOS, SP7SP
157 Yoan Moncada, CHW, 3B63B-one
158 Tyler Mahle, CIN, SP6SP-one
159 Josh Donaldson, NYY, 3B63B-DH
160 Brandon Belt, SF, 1B61B
161 Jared Walsh, LAA, 1B51B-2
162 Matt Chapman, TOR, 3B53B-one
163 Luis Garcia, HOU, SP5SP
164 Willson Contreras…


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