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Fantasy basketball: When to draft Kyrie, Zion, Simmons and AD


Anthony Davis, Zion Williamson, Kyrie Irving, and Ben Simmons have the talent to become fantasy basketball stars — and they’ve all shown it in the past — but each comes with its own set of risks as they make it to the 2022-23 NBA season. season.

Should I use a high draft pick on any of them? How careful should you be with each of them? And when is the best time to compile them?

Our fantasy basketball experts Andre Snellings, Eric Moody, Eric Carabelle, Jim McCormick and John Cregan will explain their approaches to the draft.

Anthony Davis

Average draft (ADP): 24.1

Snellings: Davis is another person whose injury history keeps me from drafting him with my first pair of picks, but a) when he drops it’s usually due to physical injury, b) he’s under tremendous pressure to do it. season with the Lakers with everyone watching them, and c) I believe he will feel that pressure and use it to push himself into a strong season. With that said, I still wouldn’t have taken him before the third round in most scenarios despite projecting him with the ninth highest average in fantasy. Maybe I could get it early in the third round of some leagues. But I would like to have two more reliable top players on my team before I feel ready to tackle the risk/reward rollercoaster.

Capricious: Last season, Davis averaged 23.2 points per game, 10.0 rebounds, 2.3 blocks per game and 1.2 rebounds per game. New head coach Darwin Ham says he wants to push through Davis. Also, he seems to be in great shape to avoid injury. I am drawn to him like a moth to a flame. More than 60 games with his participation can make him the winner of the fantasy managers league. Davis is a very good pick in his current position in the draft.

Karabel: I’m actually a little surprised that Davis isn’t in the top 10 anymore. However, it shouldn’t, based on a slew of missed games and a modest decline in production. Davis is no longer 25 points and 12 rebounds, not with his health and with LeBron James by his side. but it still provides potential top 10 production if we can count on some durability. I would say late round 2 is not bad, although I’m not likely to invest.

McCormick: There is enough risk in Davis’ current ADP to make the jump. Only Miles Turner averaged more blocks than Davis last season, which we consider one of the hardest stats to come by. Oh yes, he is also one of the best sources of steals for any frontcourt player in the league. Davis couldn’t find his three-point shot last season, but he also converted a career-best 57.1 percent from two-point range. Even with some of his scoring decline with the Pelicans, we can reasonably predict that Davis will hit about 24 points and 10 boards with a realistic chance of leading the league in blocks. I’m in

Cregan: I would like to collect everything needed to promote the fantasy campaign for the return of Davis. But even in failing health, Davis’s fantasy output in key areas continued an alarming decline last season. Its permanent. the simultaneous decline in three-point percentage and rebounds speaks of a player who is secretly old beyond his years – and not in the spirit of the good, sly Luka Doncic, but rather in the spirit of the warning emptor Greg Oden.

Zion Williamson

ADP: 26.0

Snellings: Zion was someone I took risks with last season. I spent a lot of money to keep him in the industry dynasty league and I took him when he was available in the 3rd round of several leagues expecting his foot injury to be minor. Did not have. I do believe he will come into this season healthy and motivated, but he is also on a team where usage is being shared among more powerful players than before. According to my predictions, he is ranked 22nd in fantasy points per game. I would consider drafting him in the fourth round, maybe even at the end of the third round if I’m lucky, but his ADP is now 23rd, so I doubt I’ll have a chance in any league.

Capricious: I don’t mind choosing Williamson at all. His five-year extension shows the Pelicans have confidence in him. From the reports and videos, Williamson is in top form and I expect to see the player we saw in 2020-2021 average 32.5 points, 8.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists in 40 minutes. Williamson could have easily surpassed his ADP if his defensive stats improved.

Karabel: I’m always willing to pick a player if their value matches my expectations, but I just can’t imagine what that would be like with Zion. Maybe he’s playing all the games this season, or he’s only missing 10. OK, cool! Williamson can score with the best of them, but to qualify for a top 30 pick, he needs to become a more versatile statistical player, rebound more and miss free throws less. I can’t invest a top 50 pick in someone with such flaws despite their talent.

McCormick: Understanding the risk of missing out on Shaq’s top-notch performance, I don’t mind getting Williamson this season. He is clearly more valuable in points leagues given his elite scoring potential, but for category-based formats there are some downsides to consider. In a sample of 85 career games, he averaged just 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks per nearly 32 mpg. Slow free throw production – on high volume – coupled with a modest career rebounding record means that Williamson can be a player entirely reliant on his special efficiency at high scoring numbers. Zion is generally an exception, so I may be wrong, but so far he has been a better real player than a fantasy star.

Cregan: In the points league, I’m in. Like at the end of the third round, but this is just the beginning. The unique combination of Williamson’s use, true shooting percentage, and a high score portfolio makes it a medium risk, high reward game. Anyone with as much grip on the ball as Williamson is worth it, despite his two well-documented shortcomings: health and free throw percentage. Williamson’s free throw hitting potential and lack of confidence that he’ll win 60 games is why I’m still waiting a year before switching to Roto’s side.

Kyrie Irving

ADP: 27.6

Snellings: I don’t have a complete “Don’t Draft” list as such, but Irving came closest to getting a special exemption due to his tendency to miss a large number of games each year. I wondered if the pendulum could have taken a very different path this season. Because now everyone is so used to the fact that he could potentially miss half a season or more for reasons that may not even involve injury that I thought his draft stock might have fallen into the fourth/fifth round range where I could consider it. He’s eighth in my fantasy points per game predictions, and if I could get him after I’ve already got three or four top picks, then I’d think about it. But his ADP is still quite high, so it would likely take me a whole league of Irving naysayers to try it out.

Capricious: Despite the fact that Irving is one of the most unpredictable fantasy basketball players in recent memory, I still feel very comfortable picking him in the middle position in the draft. Irving only played 29 games last season, but the statistics were brilliant. He averaged 27.4 points per game, 4.4 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 1.4 rebounds per game while shooting 47% from the field. He is well positioned to significantly outperform his ADP.

Karabel: He’s such a talented player, but it’s hard to believe he’ll appear in two-thirds of his team’s games, well, ever. It’s always something. Yes, I would consider Irving if it didn’t require investment in the top 50, but of course that won’t happen in many leagues. Irving has upside potential in the top 10 but I want to invest in more solid options so there is a chance he won’t be on my team.

McCormick: I’m ready to fight Irving this season. One aspect that I honestly consider is that the impending unlimited free agency next summer offers a unique motivation to be productive and approachable this season. There is an obvious risk given the track record, but I don’t think it’s due to systemic statistical errors by Williamson and Simmons. As one of the most prolific and prolific defensive players in the league, this guy can still contribute at a statistical level that makes the difference in every game. It’s more of a bet on availability than his ability to be a fictional force.

Cregan: It’s going to sound like I’m being a little hypocritical — Irving has gotten more negative publicity than anyone else — but it didn’t affect his reputation in the draft. Irving is one of those players that brings out the selective memory of fantasy managers… we tend to remember the good times. And Irving did post some monstrous lines last season. In Roto, having played 70-75 games, Irving is a borderline first-round talent. But Irving will miss the time. But, with the exception of trips to Toronto, it’s impossible to determine when he chooses a private day from time to time. It is randomness that will make me avoid Irving in Roto. I agree that Irving missed a total of about 10 games, but his game model will be randomized to the point where he becomes untenable in the leagues on points. Because there will be a week or two when he will fail the match.

Ben Simmons

ADP: 69.9

Snellings: Simmons is another player I took a chance on last season and got burned, but from this group I will most likely get a share this season because his ADP is very low. I predict he will be 33rd in the league in fantasy points per game, and I’m willing to take a chance with my pick in the fifth or sixth round. Since that’s where his ADP is, I can draft him in multiple leagues.

Capricious: When I look at other players with the same average draft position like Josh Giddy, Christian Wood or Jalen Green, it’s unlikely that Simmons will end up on any of my fantastic basketball teams. How Simmons looks, how many games he will play, and where he will be mentally and physically remains to be seen after a year and a half away. He also needs to get along with his teammates. Since there is a lot of uncertainty, I’m leaving. Simmons will have to lose a lot of weight in fantasy drafts so I can draft him.

Karabel: You can’t fool fantasy managers…

Source: www.espn.com