MLB Betting: Top long-shot picks for 2023 Cy Young awards
The following is hardly a Cy Young favorite, but will do more good if you want to bet on 2023 MLB futures. Good luck with your bets!
You can find more of my 2023 futures bets here.
All betting odds provided by BetMGM.
American League Sai Young
Triston Mackenzie 35/1
McKenzie posted a 31:1 K:BB ratio in his last four starts last year and is a Cy Young dark horse candidate in 2023. The tall righty is equally effective against lefties and should benefit from the new catcher. Mike Zuninostrong protection/framing. Mackenzie was historic rookie season and increased his innings to 190+ last year. He looks more like Triston McKensee in 2023.
Brady Singer 66/1
Note that Singer is listed among all 200/1 pitchers, indicating that someone has already invested a large amount of money in him. The singer was pitcher remarkably similar to last year’s NL Cy Young winner, Sandy Alcantara – only Singer is younger and with better peripherals. The singer was especially dominant in the second half and should continue to improve with further development of his changeup. The command context certainly doesn’t do Singer any good, but at least Fewer homers at Kaufman Stadium up 18% over the last three seasons, and last year there were no problems with the record of victories.
If you really wanna get wild, I don’t hate either Andrew Heaney V 125/1. Flyball pitcher recorded 32.9 K-BB% on the road last season – Shohei Otani led all starters with 26.5 K-BB% – so be it leaving the park that increased the number of home runs to RHB – 44% of MLB over the last three seasons.
National League Sai Young
Dustin 100/May 1
I despise all Dodgers as much as I do everyone else, but it’s absurd that 60+ pitchers are more likely to win the Cy Young Award in 2023 than May, including Cal Quantrill And Martin Perez. May struggled with command like most pitchers coming back from Tommy John, but it was mean good last season. Now he should be even better, because there are still six months before the operation. Admittedly, the NL is loaded with SP, but with many similar options at the top, May stands out as one of the most enticing long-term bets of 2023; he wrote down 31.2 C-BB% in 2021 before injury.
May’s workload will be somewhat limitedbut many doubt Corbin Burns‘ ceiling two years ago when he won Cy Young with a dominant 165 innings. Tony Gonsolin won 16 games in just 130.1 innings last season with help from Los Angeles’ support and defense. It’s probably not a coincidence that the Dodgers had three of the 10 lowest BABIPs among starters last season if Gonsolin qualified. In other words, Gonsolin finished fifth in baseball wins last year, despite pitching 89th in innings and being K-rated outside the top 25 thanks to playing for the Dodgers.
If you prefer May in 60/1 to record the most winsthen this is definitely a viable alternative. But the pitcher with some of the best things in baseball who is finally healthy and in an extraordinary situation should not have such extreme odds in any of the bets.