Both the Boston Celtics and Phoenix Suns are two-possession favorites at home in their Game 7s in the second round of the NBA playoffs.
The Celtics host the Bucks on Sunday (3:30 pm ET, ABC) after beating Milwaukee on the road in Game 6 on Friday night. Jayson Tatum erupted for 46 points in the 108-95 win while Jaylen Brown had 22 and Marcus Smart had 21.
Boston is favored by 5.5 points ahead of Sunday afternoon’s game and are getting a nice home court boost. Each of Boston’s three wins over Milwaukee so far in the series have been by at least eight points. The Celtics won Game 4 by a score of 116-108 and won Game 2 109-86.
Two of Milwaukee’s three wins in the series have been by a single basket. After beating the Celtics by 12 in Game 1, the Bucks won Game 3 by two and Game 5 by three. While Boston is a fairly comfortable home favorite on Sunday, road teams have won four of the first six games in the series as each team has two road wins.
As Friday night’s box score showed, Tatum has gotten more help from his teammates than Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak had 44 of Milwaukee’s 95 points on Friday night and Jrue Holiday was the only other Bucks player who had more than 14 points. The Bucks sorely miss Khris Middleton as he’s doubtful to be back for Sunday’s Game 7 from his knee injury. Middleton could be back for the conference finals against the Heat, but Milwaukee needs to win outright as an underdog for that to happen.
The Bucks are +170 straight up while the Celtics are -200 on the money line. The total for Sunday’s game is 207.5.
Phoenix favored by 6.5
The Suns are favored by a point more than the Celtics over the Dallas Mavericks (8 pm ET, TNT). Unlike Boston, Phoenix has won every time it’s been at home so far this series and looks a better value against the spread based on those three wins.
Phoenix’s three home wins in the series so far have all been by at least three possessions. The Suns won Game 1 by seven points and then won by 20 in Game 2 and 30 in Game 5.
All six games in the series have been relative blowouts outside of Game 1. The closest game after Game 1 was a nine-point Dallas win in Game 3.
Dallas’ defense has been much better at home this series and that bodes well for a Phoenix offense that’s the best in the NBA from the midrange. While Dallas has the best player in the series in Luka Doncic, the Suns have the best 1-2 combination in Chris Paul and Devin Booker.
The Mavericks are +200 on the money line and Phoenix is -250 straight up. The total Sunday night is 205.5.