Before the Miami Dolphins kicked off on Sunday, Tua Tagovailoa was 80-to-1 to become the NFL’s MVP. These chances are not found anywhere else.
The MVP odds change constantly throughout the season, but rarely, as for Tagovailoa this week. With each passing day this week, Tagovailoa’s odds have gotten significantly lower. at BetMGM.
It’s like tracking stocks that literally explode out of nowhere:
Tagovailoa MVP odds on Sunday before kickoff: +8000
I hope you made your bet on MVP Tagovailoa last week.
Tua Tagovailoa climbs MVP odds rankings
After this burst of activity, Tagovailoa has the fifth highest chance of winning an MVP. Judging by the BetMGM NFL MVP odds, we now have five contenders. All others +2500 or more:
Patrick Mahomes +200
Jalen Hurts +225
Josh Allen +300
Lamar Jackson +1000
The increase in Tagovailoa’s chances is due to several reasons. First, it was too high – 80 to 1. This is corrected. In addition, Allen’s elbow injury and the Buffalo Bills’ loss to the New York Jets last week have made the MVP race difficult. Allen looked like a clear favorite before the loss to the Jets, but now he is not. It changes the outlook of everyone else on the radar.
And maybe the bookmakers and players are coming to the conclusion how good the Dolphins are with Tagovailoa on the field this season.
Tagovailoa was very good
Tagovailoa started and finished six games. In these games, the Dolphins are 6-0.
Tagovailoa is also not just like that. This season he has been amazingly effective. He leads the NFL with a 115.9 passer rating. He averages 282.9 passing yards per game and has a 15-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
Dolphins wide receiver Tyreke Hill is gaining 2,086 yards and deserves to be in the top five MVP candidates. However, earning doesn’t really have anything to do with futures betting. The recipient has never won an MVP. It’s a defender’s reward, period. In a fair world, Hill would have Tagovailoa’s MVP chances, but we know the history of NFL MVP voting. You will lose a lot of money betting on non-quarterbacks year after year.
Tagovailoa is the Dolphins’ best chance of winning an MVP. He missed two and a half games with a concussion, but his raw numbers will start to catch up. If the Dolphins keep winning, he’ll get MVP’s attention.
Players and bookmakers are already paying due attention to the history of Tagovailoa.