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PGA Championship Edge Driver: Luck with Lowry

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The time has finally come: it’s 2022 PGA Championship week! The year’s second major golf tournament tees off Thursday morning at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma, who last hosted this event in 2007, which was won by Tiger Woods. The PGA always meets the moment when it comes to course difficulty and unexpected twists of fate. In 2020, Collin Morikawa rallied an astonishing sunday comeback amid heavy fog and fierce competition while in 2021, Phil Mickelson pulled off an all-time underdog win at the immensely-challenging design of Kiawah Island. Both of these winners were considerable longshots, yet they entered the competition with major advantages over the field when it came to course fit and trajectory. From this, we can learn to maximize our betting strategy for this year’s PGA.

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Betting the PGA this year is a minefield when it comes to the appeal of stars’ short odds contrasted with the true value on some of the dark horses. Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and even Tiger Woods will be popular selections this week, and while there may be some utility to riding these popular picks, they’re simply not sharp plays at their odds (Tiger opened at +6000).

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How can we, then, take course fit and value pricing into account at the same time? That’s where our exclusive Edge Driver tool comes in handy. Think of this as your all-in-one tool for golf betting intel: you can adjust filters through a myriad of options and view the top-performing golfers in categories that pertain directly to what a course might ask of the players, which we are doing today. Southern Hills is not a bombers’ track; ask any pro and they’ll say it’s a second-shot golf course whose powerful winds accentuate the difficulty of the quick, compact greens. In other words, world-class iron play and putting will be integral to this weekend’s PGA Championship-winning formula. Let’s see which golfers have the skillset and trajectory to contend:

2022 PGA Championship | Southern Hills CC | Tulsa, OK

Edge Driver PGA Championship
Edge Driver PGA Championship
Edge Driver PGA Championship
Edge Driver PGA Championship

When evaluating which golfers have momentum in the right areas of their game to win a major, shots gained on approach and on the greens (putting) are the most actionable data we have as golf bettors. Here, we’ve selected SG: Approach and SG: Putting over the past 40 round as our primary filter, but you can go more granular if you’d like. We don’t have to, though, on our hunt to find optimal betting value: Shane Lowry is a spectacular value at +3000 odds. He is dialed-in with his iron game ranking No. 2 on Tour in approach and has kept his flat stick afloat in the top-30 of putting shots-gained. Scheffler and Smith are, of course, on career-best heaters at the moment so it makes sense to see them leading this crossover SG category list. However, Lowry has demonstrated an affinity for major competitions with giant fields. The winner of the 2019 Open Championship, Lowry finished T3 at this year’s Masters and T4 at Kiawah for the PGA last year. In all of those events, he used above-average irons and surgical putting to finish top-five. The course makeup of Southern Hills plays right into his wheelhouse with unpredictable wind gales and contours approaching the greens. That said, at 30-1, Lowry presents excellent value and could be worth a play as the outright winner of the 2022 PGA Championship. Hideki Matsuyama at +2500 could also be worth a look among true contenders with dark horse-level odds.

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Source: sports.yahoo.com

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