There are only 67 games in the 2022/23 Premier League season, but we are already seeing the effect of VAR decisions. Arsenal fans will once again mourn the video referee, while some of the other biggest clubs will be glad to see him.

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Last season, our VAR effects table showed that the Gunners would have qualified for the Champions League instead of Tottenham Hotspur were it not for VAR. Arsenal have only lost one game so far this season, but VAR has had a huge impact and without him they would have had a 100 per cent record.

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It’s a completely different story with Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United – they fall at the table without VAR decisions in their favor.

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As we did last year, we look at all VAR decisions in the Premier League and see how they could affect the outcome of the games.

It’s not just about how many times a team gets a favorable VAR signal or how many goals it affects. More importantly, when did these VAR decisions take place, how could they change the course of the game, and most importantly, would that impact change the ultimate score.

Sportzshala brings you VAR effects table. We have taken all 94 VAR decisions in the Premier League this season and calculated how they could affect the outcome of matches. We will continue to monitor VAR throughout the season and find out who will actually win and who will actually lose.

– JUMP ON: Winners without VAR | Losers without VAR

How we work with the VAR effects table

We only take the first VAR rejection in each game because the calculations take into account that any subsequent VAR incident would not have happened because the whole direction of the game has changed. (Think of it like a Marvel timeline, or the plot of any time travel movie.)

The VAR decision is then changed to the original on-field decision, so if a goal is not awarded due to an offside position, it counts as a goal.

If a penalty kick has been waived, it is considered awarded and awarded, unless the team concerned has a penalty conversion rate below 50% during the season. For example, Crystal Palace, Tottenham and West Ham have failed to score from penalties this season. If less than 50%, the penalty may be considered missed.

If a team has been awarded a goal as a result of a penalty or illegal offside by VAR, the goal will not count.

We then consider a number of factors before settling on a predicted outcome:

Command form: The results of the previous six matches give an idea of ​​how the team played in general.

Incident time: For example, if an incident occurs at the end of a game, it is unlikely that the score will change again after that point.

xG at the time of the incident: This allows us to take into account which team has created more chances and is in a winning position.

Team strength: In addition to form, the overall strength of the team plays a big role. This takes into account the position in the league, as well as the team’s performance and defense performance during the season.

Impact of the incident: For example, reversing a decision on a red card can change the outcome of a match.

These results were then used to change the table and determine what effect VAR had on the teams’ positions this season.

The table shows the position of each team after adjustments to the results, with arrows indicating whether they are better or worse in the non-VAR league. It is worth noting that not all teams played the same number of games due to the postponement.

Big winners without VAR

ArsenalPremier League top flight lead increases from one point to two points excluding VAR. Mikel Arteta’s team lost 3-1 to Manchester United in early September, but Gabriel Martinelli’s goal was disallowed due to Martin Odegaard’s build-up foul in the 12th minute when the score was scoreless. The Gunners’ excellent form early in the game is a key factor in the VAR effects table, suggesting that they would have won the game if they had scored first. It’s three points in Arsenal’s favour, restoring their 100 per cent record.

Tottenham Hotspur also hit hard by VAR and two points better to have Antonio Conte’s side ahead of Manchester City (points unchanged) to second position. Spurs canceled a penalty in a 1–1 draw with West Ham when Aaron Cresswell was penalized for handballing; a draw at the London Stadium becomes an away victory.

The biggest climbers Leeds United as well as Everton, which both moved up five places and moved to seventh and eighth places, respectively. Leeds only get one point and their loss to Brentford is a draw. For Everton, the Merseyside derby becomes a 2-1 win as the VAR system ruled out Conor Cody’s offside goal, giving them two extra points.

AFC Bournemouth two points and four places better, moving up to sixth after Newcastle were awarded a VAR penalty to a 1-1 draw; game – 1-0 cherry win. Wolverhampton Wanderers also moved up four places to 13th, three points clear of the relegation zone after their draw at home to Newcastle was a win; Raul Jimenez ruled out a late goal with a line-up foul that would have made it 2-0.

The last team to score more points West Ham United. Most controversially, they had a late equalizer, Maxwell Cornet at Chelsea, who was ruled out by VAR due to a foul by Jarrod Bowen, a decision that was later found to be a mistake and caused huge controversy. The Hammers have a one-point net win over all decisions.

Brighton & Hove Albion, Leicester City as well as Newcastle United are the only teams that have remained in the same place in the league and points.

It may come as a surprise to Newcastle fans, but while the home draw against Crystal Palace – when Tyreke Mitchell’s own goal was erroneously ruled out by VAR – is a victory for the Magpies, they have also benefited from more VAR calls than any other team from penalties. won against Bournemouth, and Wolves’ missed goal earned them additional points.

Fulham rise to fifth place, but remain at the same level.

Big losers without VAR

look away Manchester United fans, because it was the Red Devils who had the best VAR system this season and lost the most points without it. The key decision is that game against Arsenal, with an early VAR decision in their favor, meaning that a win becomes a loss in our calculation.

Liverpool barely clinging to a place in the top half of the table after they lost a point in the Merseyside derby, dropping two places to 10th.

Other teams have actually moved lower in the table, although they have lost fewer points. Chelsea as well as brentford both lost two points and dropped five places to 12th and 14th respectively. Chelsea are two points down as their home win over West Ham turns into a draw and Brentford’s home win over Leeds is scored 2-2 excluding VAR.

Nottingham Forest also lose two points without VAR as their 1-0 home win over West Ham turns into a draw – the Hammers disallowed a goal due to a foul by Mihail Antonio.

crystal palace are the only other team to lose points without VAR as a draw at Newcastle turned into a defeat. That one point puts Patrick Vieira’s men on the edge of the relegation zone and only out of the bottom three on goal difference over West Ham.

Southampton as well as Aston Villa both drop one place to 15th and 16th, although their points totals have not changed.