The Six Pack: Ohio State vs. Michigan, Notre Dame vs. USC among best Week 13 college football picks

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Here we come to the bittersweet weekend of the college football season. Sure, we get the Thanksgiving Egg Bowl and the full Friday and Saturday games, but it’s also the last week of the regular season. It’s like the end of fireworks on Independence Day. They save the loudest explosions for the end of the show, but then it just ends.

Of course, we have conference championship games and bowls, and that will be great. But there’s nothing better than a college football Saturday, and it’s the last full Saturday.

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So let’s cherish it, because there is a long wait before their return. And I think we can all agree that the best way to enjoy this weekend is to go 6-0 in The Six Pack. All odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Games of the week

Featured game | Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines
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OCHIOST

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-320

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-7.5
-110
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o56
-110
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MIS

+250

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-110
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No. 3 Michigan in Ohio No. 2A: A lot of what I think is going on in this game depends on the status of Michigan running back Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards. Corum left last week’s narrow escape over Illinois at the end of the first half and snapped in the third quarter before spending the rest of the game on the touchline. If his injury was bad enough to keep him out of a game that the Wolverines were trailing until the final seconds, it’s fair to wonder how healthy he’ll be for Ohio State.

This is an important question, given how much Wolverine’s offense depended on Corum and the escaping game. The Wolverines are ranked fourth nationally by the EPA for every tug, but hold a more modest 26th in the EPA by pullback. And if I’m trying to exploit Ohio’s defensive weakness, I’m not doing it on the ground. While the Wolverines are definitely better with Corum, I’m not sure how many points they score anyway. However, in defense, they must be able to contain the Bakeev as well as everyone else. So while I’m not too sure I know the outcome of this game in terms of the winner, I don’t see it turning into a gunfight often. Ohio State 27, Michigan 21 | up to 56 years

Featured game | USC Trojans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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USC

-210

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-5.5
-110
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-110
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no data

+175

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+5.5
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No. 15 Notre Dame at No. 6 USC: For those who stopped paying attention to Notre Dame after his loss to Stanford, I will say that the team you saw then is different from the one you will see this weekend. In their first six games, Notre Dame averaged 2.06 points per possession, threw touchdowns in only 66.7% of possessions in the red zone, and had an explosive running rate of 8.8%. Since then, in five games, the Irish have averaged 2.92 points per drive, thrown 73.1% touchdowns in the red zone and had an explosive 11.3% running rate. This is not a result that can compete with what USC is doing, but one that can cause serious problems.

The Trojans pulled off their biggest win of the season last week, but it’s still a vulnerable defense. The USC defense has made 24 passes this season, but 18 of them were interceptions. You cannot intercept the ball if the team is not throwing it; when teams don’t drop it, they have great success against Trojans. The USC defense is ranked 117th in the national EPA dash rating and 114th in run defense success. I don’t understand how the Trojan defense can get off the field enough for them to go too far and if the Notre Dame defense, which is ranked 10th in sacks and 19th in the EPA by pullback, causes a problem or two , things can be confusing. USC 34, Notre Dame 31 | Mother of God +5.5

Castle of the week

Featured game | TCU Horned Frogs vs. Iowa State Cyclones
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TCU

-365

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-ten
-110
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o47.5
-110
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IOWAST

+285

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+10
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Iowa State at 4th TCU: I gave you a lot of numbers and I could give you a bunch more to explain this choice, but the numbers are not important to me here. Iowa State is a team that plays in the mud and drags every opponent it comes across. This of course doesn’t mean that the Cyclones will defeat you when they do – there are only 4-7 of them after all – but even when you defeat them, you will be left covered in mud and feeling bad. Only one of Iowa State’s seven losses (27-13 against Oklahoma) was in double figures. The remaining six defeats came by 24 points. He dragged Baylor into the dirt and then brought Kansas. The state of Kansas could not escape, and neither could Texas. Oklahoma State and Texas Institute of Technology were the last to take part in the Iowa State Game.

Now it’s TCU’s turn, and while the Horned Frogs have everything to play as, no one escapes the Iowa state filth. Also, have you seen the TCU attack lately? He didn’t perform nearly at the same level as he did most of the season. In their first seven games against FBS rivals, TCU posted a 45.2% offensive scoring, 3.27 points per possession and an explosive 16.4% play. Those numbers have dropped in the last three games to a 38.4% success rate, 1.92 points per drive and an explosive 11.4% game rate. This team is limping to the finish line. That doesn’t mean he won’t make it there, but it’s hard to believe he’ll cover that number. Not in shit. TCU 27, Iowa 23 | Iowa State +10

Wagon of the week

Featured game | Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators
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FSU

-365

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-9.5
-110
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o58
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FLA

+285

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+9.5
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Source: www.cbssports.com

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