The college football schedule last week remained relatively unchanged despite the damage caused by Hurricane Ian. But one game was rescheduled first to Sunday and then to Wednesday, which is when the SMU Mustangs will travel to Orlando to take on the UCF Knights. UCF is 3-1 and SMU is 2-2, although the Mustangs lost two games by one to the Power Five rivals.
Kick-off is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET from FBC Mortgage, also known as Bounce House. Bookmaker Caesars rates Knights at -2.5 in the latest UCF vs SMU odds. Over/under total points set at 63.5. Before making any choice between SMU and UCF, be sure to See American football predictions and betting tips based on SportsLine’s proven computer model..
The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six plus years, a proprietary computer model has generated a staggering profit of over $3,100 for $100 players at its highest rated American football selection against spread. Anyone who followed him saw huge profits.
- UCF vs SMU Spread: UCF -2.5
- UCF vs. SMU over/under: 63.5 points
- Choosing UCF vs. SMU: See selections here
What you need to know about UCF
The Knights are widely known for their offense and that reputation has been bolstered by the hiring of former Auburn head coach Gus Malzan ahead of the 2021 season. But in 2022, they did it defensively, dropping just 13.5 points per game. Last time they held Georgia Tech by 10 points, largely due to the fact that they forced the Yellow Vests to convert only 4 of 16 attempts on the third and fourth downs.
On the other side of the ball, UCF is led by transfer Ole Miss John Rhys Plumlee. A talented athlete who played quarterback and wide receiver as well as baseball for the Rebels, Plumley is locked up at QB in place of Malzan. He threw for 827 yards and five touchdowns, adding 404 yards and four points on the ground.
What you need to know about SMU
Meanwhile, two weeks ago, the Mustangs lost to the TCU Horned Frogs in the Finals, 42–34. The SMU loss should not overshadow the performances of running back Tre Siggers, who threw three rushing touchdowns, and wide receiver Jake Bailey, who caught eight passes for one touchdown and 163 yards.
It’s a contrast of attacking styles as the UCF is third in the nation in rushing yards with 274.5 per game. SMU, meanwhile, ranks fifth in the nation in passing yards per game with an average of 353.
How to choose UCF vs SMU
The model simulated UCF and SMU 10,000 times and the results are in. The model relies on the total and also generated a scatter sample that falls within more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the selection on SportsLine.
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