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UFC Vegas 64 predictions

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The question arises: what should Marina Rodriguez do to make a clear jump to the top spot in the list of contenders for the title of minimum weight?

Rodriguez is currently ranked #5 in the MMA Fighting Global Rankings and has to beat another high-level contender, ninth-ranked Amanda Lemos, in the main event of UFC Vegas 64. Rodriguez has already defeated Yang Xiaonan (6). , Mackenzie Dern (7), Tecia Torres (10) and Michelle Waterson-Gomez (12), so it seems absurd that she has to prove anything to anyone, but this is true when four names on top of 115 pounds (acting champion Carla Esparza and former champions Jessica Andrade, Rose Namajunas and Zhang Weili) are in a stranglehold on the first places.

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Will a dominant decision help Rodriguez’s case? Does she need to knock Lemos back with a tornado headshot? How about filing a flying armbar? Why does it seem like Rodriguez is stuck on the opponent’s treadmill?

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What if Lemos wins? Does this mean that Rodriguez has forever moved into the category of losers? Does that mean Lemos’ impressive string of highlights is well ahead of Rodriguez in the title challenge?

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As with last week’s Arnold Allen-Calvin Kattar unfortunate match that left us with just as many questions as before (if not more), it feels like neither Rodriguez nor Lemos will be any closer to any answers to late Saturday evening.

In another major card action, Neil Magny goes for the UFC record for welterweight wins as he takes on Daniel Rodriguez, veteran heavyweights Chase Sherman and Josh Parisian battle it out, up-and-coming flyweights Tagir Ulanbekov and Nate Maness look to return to the win column. , and Grant Dawson intervenes without warning in an attempt to hand Olympian Mark Madsen his first loss.

Which: UFC Vegas 64

Where: UFC APEX in Las Vegas

When: Saturday, November 5th The seven-fight preliminary card starts at 4:00 pm ET. ESPN+and then the main card of five fights at 19:00 ESPN+.

Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Lemos

I’m not making any outlandish predictions about Marina Rodriguez’s chances for a title, but she should beat Amanda Lemos.

Look again at the above names. Rodriguez faced not only opposition, but also its diversity. She is highly adaptable and makes opponents play her game of fighting from a distance and mixing it with Muay Thai. It’s hard to take Rodriguez out of his comfort zone.

Lemos certainly has the finishing power to take on Rodriguez, but my expectations for her to become a top-level light heavyweight have been tempered by her recent performances. She pulled off a controversial win over Angela Hill, got ahead of Jessica Andrade (no shame, that’s Jessica Andrade as hell) and then got a good submission against Michelle Waterson-Gomez after an underwhelming first round. We know Lemos is dangerous, but we just don’t know if she can go up against an elite opponent like Rodriguez.

This is just Lemos’ second scheduled match of five rounds, with her first match lasting just over three minutes. Rodriguez played 25 minutes twice and looked great doing it. I don’t believe that Lemos will put her in jail, which means she will have to beat the judges, which is not exactly her specialty.

Expect Lemos to take big risks and hit multiple home runs, only to find herself falling further and further behind the technically superior Rodriguez on the scorecards.

To choose: Rodriguez

Neil Magny vs. Daniel Rodriguez

Neil Magny has always been an absolute spoiler and I think it’s time for him to roll some balls into Daniel Rodriguez’s title path.

After a controversial victory over Li Jingliang at UFC 279, Rodriguez wisely takes a quick turn not only to get away from those controversial numbers, but also to maintain some semblance of career momentum. Rodriguez was out for a year leading up to the Lee fight and will turn 36 in December, so it’s time for him to push for a championship opportunity while he’s still seen as a new name.

The problem is that Magny thrives in situations where he is ignored in favor of his opponent’s story. The Haitian Sensation has its share of losses, but that’s what happens when you envision yourself as a fighter ready to sign up for any match and consistently deliver on that promise. Think of all the cool names who thought they could beat Magni but got another L in the column instead: Lee, Robbie Lawler, Carlos Condit, Johnny Hendrix, Hector Lombard, Kelvin Gastelum and so on and so forth. By the way, there are three former UFC welterweight champions.

In a straight punch fight, Rodriguez can match anyone at 170 pounds, but I expect Magni to mix martial arts here. He will take an early onslaught from Rodriguez, then turn the tide in the middle of the fight and take over with a ground and pound before earning a decision or finishing in the 3rd round.

To choose: Magny

Chase Sherman vs. Josh Parisian – fight canceled

You know what’s more fun than a heavyweight knockout? Heavyweight confusion confusing the crowd.

Call it fantasy armor, but I feel like there’s a lot of fun in the air, and not just the kind you get when you put two knockout machines against each other, but the kind you get when said knockout cars also have dubious protection. It has all the makings of a fight that could be over in less than two minutes, hence the location of the main cards, and I throw caution to the wind and predict we’ll see something completely unexpected.

Yes, there will be a fair amount of swinging and punching in this fight, but I foresee Sherman crippling the Parisian first and driving him to the mat to finish him off. From there, a wild fight ensues, and the Parisian somehow finds himself in a vantage point where he can start throwing punches on the ground. When Sherman breaks and his defense opens up, Parisian will make the strategic decision not to harass himself with a flurry of punches in hopes of a stoppage, but instead move on to his jiu-jitsu and continue pulling instead.

And so it will be done.

To choose: Parisian

Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Nate Maness

Nate Maness has a good size at 125 pounds after previously competing at lightweight earlier in his career, but he will have a hard time stopping Tagir Ulanbekov’s takedowns. Team member Khabib Nurmagomedov complements the elite wrestling you’d expect with sharp boxing, and he’s been hyped as a potential title contender for good reason.

Ulanbekov was put to the test in his recent fight with Tim Elliott, as the savvy veteran used some, shall we say, ethically questionable methods to gain an advantage and give Ulanbekov his first UFC loss. One could argue that Ulanbekov learned from this experience, which means we could see an even more aggressive and obnoxious version of the Russian leader.

Muness must keep this chance to have a chance. When he finds the distance, Maness is a serious threat as he mixes head and body shots beautifully and has hidden power. Ulanbekov was caught by Elliott in his last fight and if he makes such a mistake against Maness then he might not bounce back this time.

However, I don’t know if Maness has the takedown defense to hit Nurmagomedov’s student all the time, so this is probably going down the same path as Maness’ loss to Umar Nurmagomedov: Maness is on his back for most of the fight with Ulanbekov brings down a rain of blows. down on it.

To choose: Ulanbekov

Grant Dawson vs Mark Madsen

Given Grant Dawson’s strength advantage, which almost everyone in the lightweight division already has, it’s understandable that Mark Madsen and his team went for a 30 percent penalty after Dawson missed weight on Friday. On the other hand, Dawson also took this fight on less than three weeks notice to help Madsen stay on the card, so it feels a bit raw. But it’s neither here nor there.

Dawson is a dangerous fighter, but how effective will he be against an opponent who has an Olympic silver medal in Greco-Roman wrestling in his trophy case? It will be interesting to see what Dawson comes up with to beat Madsen and vice versa. Dawson may have to rely on his punches to land takedowns, which up until this point in his career had not been his specialty.

Another factor to consider for Dawson is how he performs in the third round. He has shown a knack for finishing late but, ironically, he also slows noticeably in the last five minutes and that will be a problem for him against Madsen, who has a great gas tank for a fighter who just turned 38. I fully expect it to go two rounds and turn into a war of attrition by the end.

Give me the loser Madsen to outlive Dawson.

To choose: Madsen


Shaylan Nuerdanbike defeated Darrick Minner

Miranda Maverick vs. Shanna Young

Mario Batista defeated. benito lopez

Polyana Viana def. Jin Yu Frey

Johnny Munoz beat. Ludvik Sholinyan

Jake Hadley victorious Carlos Candelario

Tamirez Vidal def. Ramona Pascual


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